The Detroit Pistons (4-1) will have their hands full against the NBA’s top scoring defense when they take on the Boston Celtics (4-2) at TD Garden. The game is scheduled to begin at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, October 30, 2018.
Boston opened as a 9-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 209.5 points.
Detroit Pistons vs. Boston Celtics Betting Prediction
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Morris recorded 18 points and eight rebounds and the Celtics beat the Pistons 109-89, covering as 3.5-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 198 points, which was 14.5 points below the projected point total of 212.5 points. The Celtics had a better offensive rebounding percentage (16.3 vs. 11.5) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.535 vs. 0.410).
Half-court execution will be at a premium when a pair of the league’s slowest-paced teams battle. Boston ranks 27th in possessions per game (97.9) and Detroit is 21st (98.6) since last season.
Detroit has a superb 4-1 straight up (SU) record, but they are just 1-4 against the spread (ATS). Pistons games tend to finish under the projected point total (60.0 percent).
Meanwhile, Boston owns records of 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS. Coinciding with Detroit, games involving the Celtics also tend to go under the total (83.3 percent).
Detroit Pistons vs. Boston Celtics Free Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Celtics, ATS Winner – Celtics, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
Boston is 45-8 when they allow below 100 points, while Detroit is 22-6.
The Celtics are 55-16 when they score more than 100 points, while the Pistons are 39-19.
Boston ranks third in assists allowed per game (21.2) while Detroit ranks 28th (25.2).
The Celtics rank eighth in three pointers allowed per game (27.9) while the Pistons rank 25th (30.8).
Detroit ranks 18th in points in the paint per game (43.9) while Boston ranks 29th (40.0).
The Pistons rank 17th in points off turnovers per game (16.3) while the Celtics rank 26th (15.0).
Detroit ranks 19th in fast break points per game (10.7) while Boston ranks 27th (9.7).
The Celtics rank 10th in rebounds per game (44.3) while the Pistons rank 18th in rebounds allowed per game (43.7).
Boston ranks 18th in blocks per game (4.4) while Detroit ranks 25th (3.9).
The Celtics rank third in steals allowed per game (6.9) while the Pistons rank eighth (7.2).
Boston ranks fourth in second chance points allowed per game (11.1) while Detroit ranks sixth (11.3).
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