The Brooklyn Nets (25-51) square off against the Detroit Pistons (36-40) at Barclays Center. The game begins at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 1, 2018.
Detroit is a 1-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 210 points.
Detroit Pistons vs. Brooklyn Nets Free Prediction
In the Pistons’ last contest, they beat the New York Knicks, 115-109. The Pistons knocked down 17 of their 22 free throws (77.3 percent) and had a turnover percentage of 8.7 (better than their season average of 12.0). With 22 points on 8-for-13 shooting, Andre Drummond was Detroit’s leading scorer.
The Nets barely escaped the Miami Heat in their last contest, 110-109. One of Brooklyn’s biggest advantages was getting to the free throw line. They had 28 free throw attempts, seven more than Miami. With 19 points, 12 rebounds and eight assists, Caris LeVert put together a solid game for Brooklyn.
This contest should be a matchup of conflicting paces. Brooklyn has preferred to play fast (fifth in possessions per game), while Detroit has been more methodical (20th in possessions per game).
Detroit heads into the contest with records of 36-40 straight up (SU) and 36-37-2 against the spread (ATS). Pistons games have typically gone under the O/U total (56.0 percent).
Brooklyn has a solid record ATS (42-32-1), despite being 25-51 SU. Nets games also have a slight tendency to finish under the O/U total (53.3 percent).
Both teams have had a player step their game up over their last five games. Drummond (18.2 rebounds, 16.2 points, 2.4 blocks and 1.2 steals) has been stellar for the Pistons while Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (15.2 points, 8.0 rebounds and 1.4 steals) has contributed greatly to the Nets.
The Pistons lead the season series against the Nets two games to one, including a 115-106 victory the last time these teams met. Detroit was unable to cover as a 10-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 221 points, which was 10.5 points above the projected point total of 210.5 points. The Pistons’ 6.4 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Nets, who had a rate of 16.6. Drummond recorded a double-double with 17 points and 27 rebounds.
Detroit Pistons at Brooklyn Nets Free Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Pistons, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Detroit is 18-18-1 ATS with 23 unders, 13 overs and 1 push.
Brooklyn is 17-19-1 ATS at home with 21 unders and 16 overs.
In games where they allow below 100 points, Detroit is 20-6 and Brooklyn is 12-1.
When reaching 100 points, the Nets are 21-35 and the Pistons are 32-17.
Brooklyn ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (24.6) while Detroit ranks 24th (30.4).
The Pistons rank seventh in second chance points allowed per game (11.4) while the Nets rank 28th (13.6).
Brooklyn ranks seventh in assists allowed per game (21.7) while Detroit ranks 27th (25.0).
The Pistons rank 13th in points off turnovers per game (16.7) while the Nets rank 29th (14.3).
Detroit ranks 15th in rebounds per game (43.7) while Brooklyn ranks 29th in rebounds allowed per game (46.6).
The Pistons rank 18th in steals per game (7.6) while the Nets rank last (6.2).
Detroit ranks 15th in blocks allowed per game (4.9) while Brooklyn ranks 27th (5.6).
The Pistons rank first in fast break points allowed per game (9.6) while the Nets rank 12th (11.3).
Detroit ranks 20th in points in the paint per game (43.8) while Brooklyn ranks 24th in points allowed in the paint per game (47.0).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Detroit is 5-0 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Brooklyn is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Pistons have outscored opponents by an average of 8.2 points in their last five games. For the season, Detroit has lost by an average of 0.4 points.
During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 110.4 points per game (3.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 112.2 points per game (1.7 above their season average).
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