The Houston Rockets (8-7) take on the Detroit Pistons (8-6) at the Toyota Center. The game will air on ATTSN Southwest at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 21, 2018.
Houston is an 8.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 215 points.
Detroit Pistons vs. Houston Rockets Betting Prediction
The Pistons come in on a high note after covering the 9.5-point spread against the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last game, 113-102. The game’s total points (215) finished just over the O/U total of 213.5. Detroit’s offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over Cleveland. The Pistons had a rate of 34.2 (above their season average of 25.5), while the Cavaliers posted a mark of 22.9. With 23 points on 10-for-19 shooting, Andre Drummond was the top scorer from either team.
The last time the Rockets played, they dismantled the Sacramento Kings, 132-112, easily covering as 12-point favorites. The game’s total points (244) came in well over the projected point total of 219.5. One of Houston’s largest strengths was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 20-24 (83.3 percent), while the Kings were 9-12 (75.0 percent). With 23 points and 16 rebounds, Houston’s Clint Capela had a good game.
After splitting two games last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. The Rockets won the last contest 100-96. Houston had a better free throw rate (0.182 vs. 0.105). Detroit, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (28.6 vs. 19.4).
Detroit comes into the game with records of 8-6 straight up (SU) and 7-7 against the spread (ATS). Pistons games have no tendency in regards to the O/U total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Meanwhile, Houston is 8-7 SU and 7-8 ATS. Of the Rockets’ 15 games, 8 have finished under the total.
Drummond has averaged 21 points,17.6 rebounds,1.8 blocks,1.6 steals over the last five games for Detroit.
It could be a difficult game for Houston on the offensive glass. The Rockets are among the NBA’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking 15th in offensive rebounding percentage at 23.7 percent. Meanwhile, Detroit ranks first in the league at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 81.2 percent.
Detroit Pistons at Houston Rockets Odds Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Detroit is 5-2 ATS on the road with 4 overs and 3 unders.
At home, Houston is 3-4 ATS with 4 overs and 3 unders.
When allowing less than 100 points, Houston is 4-2 and Detroit is 1-0.
When scoring above 100 points, the Rockets are 6-3 and the Pistons are 8-4.
Houston ranks fourth in blocks per game (6.1) while Detroit ranks 27th (4.0).
The Pistons rank fourth in rebounds per game (48.5) while the Rockets rank 26th (41.1).
Detroit ranks fourth in second chance points per game (16.0) while Houston ranks 23rd (12.3).
The Pistons rank 10th in points in the paint per game (48.9) while the Rockets rank 27th (41.3).
Houston ranks fourth in assists allowed per game (21.5) while Detroit ranks 16th (23.8).
The Pistons rank 3 in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.142857142857142) while the Rockets rank 13 (16.666666666666668).
Both of these teams like to shoot the three. Houston leads the league with 42.53333333333333 three pointers per game while Detroit is 5 with 35.07142857142857 threes per game.
The Rockets rank 22 in fast break points per game (11.333333333333334) while the Pistons rank 26 (10.714285714285714).
Houston averages 8.4 steals per game, which ranks 9 in the league. Detroit ranks 12 in steals allowed per game (7.428571428571429).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five contests, Detroit is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Houston is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Pistons have outscored opponents by an average of 5.0 points in their last five games. On the season, Detroit has been defeated by an average of 0.1 points.
During their last five games, the Rockets have scored an average of 110.4 points per game (5.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 99.2 points per game (6.5 below their season average).
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