The Detroit Pistons (5-5) and the Atlanta Hawks (3-8), who both like to play up-tempo, will square off at State Farm Arena. The game will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, November 9, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 226 points with Detroit set as a 5-point favorite.
Detroit Pistons vs. Atlanta Hawks ATS Prediction
The Pistons come in on a high note after covering the 2.5-point spread against the Orlando Magic in their last contest, 103-96. The game’s combined points (199) finished under the O/U total of 213. The Pistons made 18 of their 20 free throws (90.0 percent) and held the Magic to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.0 (below their season average of 22.0). With 23 points on 10-for-16 shooting, Andre Drummond was Detroit’s leading scorer.
In the Hawks’ last game, they were beaten by the New York Knicks, 112-107. They were unable to cover as 1.5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (219) finished under the O/U total of 225.5. One of New York’s biggest advantages was getting to the charity stripe. They made 47 trips to the line, while Atlanta went just 29 times. Atlanta’s Omari Spellman had a solid performance, leading the team in scoring with 18 points on 6-for-11 shooting.
There could be plenty of transition action in this showdown that features a pair of the NBA’s more up-and-down teams. Atlanta ranks second in possessions per game (108.4) and Detroit is fifth (106.9).
Detroit heads into the game with records of 5-5 straight up (SU) and 4-6 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has been spot on when setting the total of Pistons games, with an even split between overs and unders.
Meanwhile, Atlanta owns records of 3-8 SU and 4-7 ATS. Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Hawks games, with 6 overs compared to 5 unders.
After the Pistons won three out of four contests against the Hawks last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent contest, Detroit won 104-98. The Pistons knocked down 21 of their 25 free throws (84.0 percent) and had a better offensive rebounding percentage (22.2 vs. 17.8).
Pistons at Hawks ATS Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Pistons, ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Detroit is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
At home, Atlanta is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
In contests where they allow under 100 points, Atlanta is 0-1 and Detroit is 1-0.
When reaching 100 points, the Hawks are 3-6 and the Pistons are 5-3.
Detroit ranks second in second chance points per game (16.4) while Atlanta ranks 28th in second chance points allowed per game (17.5).
The Pistons rank third in fast break points allowed per game (10.8) while the Hawks rank 26th (17.1).
Atlanta ranks third in blocks per game (6.5) while Detroit ranks 23rd (3.7).
The Pistons rank ninth in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.1) while the Hawks rank 29th (23.7).
Detroit averages 49.5 rebounds per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. Atlanta ranks 24th in rebounds allowed per game (48.2).
The Hawks rank eighth in assists per game (25.3) while the Pistons rank 28th (19.8).
Detroit ranks 11th in three pointers attempted per game (32.8) while Atlanta ranks 24th in three pointers allowed per game (33.4).
The Pistons rank 14th in steals allowed per game (7.5) while the Hawks rank 25th (9.5).
Atlanta averages 48.9 points in the paint per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. Detroit ranks 20th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.4).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five outings, Detroit is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Atlanta is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Pistons’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 2.4, up from 1.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 112.2 points per game (2.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 125.0 points per game (6.2 above their season average).
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