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Detroit Pistons vs Milwaukee Bucks Odds and Pick

The Detroit Pistons will be at the BMO Harris Bradley Center to square off against a divisional foe in the Milwaukee Bucks. The game starts at 8:00 pm ET on Monday, Nov. 23 and will air on FxD and FWi.

The Bucks lost big to the Pacers 123-86 on Saturday. Greg Monroe played well in the loss for Milwaukee, recording 11 points and 14 rebounds to earn his sixth double-double of the season. The Pistons, meanwhile, are coming off a tough 97-95 loss to the Wizards on Saturday. Marcus Morris stood out for Detroit, posting 18 points, nine rebounds, and four assists.

Detroit could own the offensive glass in this matchup, as it ranks fourth in the NBA in offensive rebound percentage at 27.5%. Conversely, Milwaukee places 30th in the league on the defensive backboards with a defensive rebound percentage of 68.1%.

The odds are even for this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is 194 points. The Bucks enter the game with records of 5-8 both Straight Up (SU) and Against The Spread (ATS). They have a record of 5-7 SU and 4-8 ATS versus the Eastern Conference. Something to watch out for is if Milwaukee can force its opponents into turnovers and convert them into baskets. They’ve done an excellent job of that all year with an average of 21.2 points off turnovers per game.

Across the court, Detroit has identical records of 7-6 SU and ATS so far. Detroit has records of 3-2 SU and ATS against the East. The Pistons are a force on the boards, grabbing an average of 47.0 rebounds per game. Detroit’s defense as a whole has been firing on all cylinders so far, ranking fifth in the NBA with only 96.5 points allowed per game. Detroit may be taking trips to the free throw line early and often with the Bucks averaging a league-high 24.1 fouls per game.

The Bucks and the Pistons will be facing off in their first head-to-head clash of the season. When they last met the Bucks were winners, taking the head-to-head record to an even 5-5 SU over the past 10 meetings. The Bucks hold the advantage ATS with a record of 7-3.

Predictions: SU Winner – Det, ATS Winner – Det, O/U – Under

Notes

Milwaukee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games.

Milwaukee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.

Milwaukee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home.

Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit.

Milwaukee is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit.

Detroit is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee.

Detroit has a 2-1 record against the Central Division this season, while Milwaukee has a losing 1-2 record against the division.

On average, Detroit scores 97.0 points per game (ranked 25th), while Milwaukee gives up 105.2 points per game (ranked 24th).

Detroit scores an average of 98.8 points per away game (ranked 20th). Milwaukee ranks 22nd in points allowed per home game with 102.8.

In games where they allow fewer than 100 points, the Milwaukee Bucks are a winning 4-1. In games where they fail to hit triple digits, the Detroit Pistons have a subpar record of 3-6.

When Milwaukee gives up 100 or more points, the team is an abysmal 1-7. In games where it reaches the century mark, Detroit is undefeated with a 4-0 record.

The Bucks have an offensive rating of 100.7 (ranked 22nd). The Pistons rank eighth for their defensive rating of 98.8.

Milwaukee averages fewer possessions per game than Detroit, with 95.4 compared to 98.4. However, the Bucks score an average of 1.007 points per possession, more than the .986 that the Pistons score.

Detroit has an average effective field goal percentage of 46.8%. Milwaukee is a subpar 2-8 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.

Milwaukee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.44 this season (ranked 17th), while Detroit ranks lower at 29th with an A/TO of 1.16.

Detroit ranks fifth among all teams in rebounding, placing the team near the top of the league (47.0 per game). Milwaukee, however, ranks 30th with 37.7 rebounds per game.

Milwaukee ranks 30th in defensive rebounds, while Detroit ranks second in offensive rebounds.

Ranked sixth, Milwaukee averages a forced turnover percentage of 16.4% this season. When the Pistons suffer a turnover rate equal to or exceeding this, the team is winless with a 0-2 record.

Written by GMS Previews

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