The Philadelphia 76ers (5-4) look to lengthen a five-game home winning streak when they meet the Detroit Pistons (4-3) at Wells Fargo Center. The game is scheduled to start at 1 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 3, 2018.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 224.5 points with Philadelphia opening as a 7.5-point favorite.
Detroit Pistons at Philadelphia 76ers ATS Prediction
In the Pistons’ last contest, they were beaten by the Brooklyn Nets, 120-119, but they did cover as 2-point underdogs. The game’s total points (239) were well over the projected point total of 217. Brooklyn’s 30.5 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over Detroit, who had a rate of 27.5. The Nets’ mark was above their season average of 22.6. Detroit’s Andre Drummond had a good performance, putting up 24 points and 23 rebounds.
The 76ers were victorious over the Los Angeles Clippers in their last outing, 122-113, covering as 5.5-point favorites. The total points for the game (235) were over the projected point total of 228.5. The 76ers forced 18 turnovers and had a better offensive rebounding percentage (22.7 vs. 19.5). Joel Embiid was the game’s top scorer with 41 points on 16-for-32 shooting from the field.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Blake Griffin scored a game-high 50 points and the Pistons, who were 1-point underdogs, beat the 76ers 133-132. He also had 14 rebounds and six assists. The game finished with a total of 265 points, which was 50.5 points above the projected point total of 214.5 points. The Pistons’ 6.3 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the 76ers, who had a rate of 9.1.
Detroit holds records of 4-3 straight up (SU) and 3-4 against the spread (ATS). Of the Pistons’ seven games, four have finished over the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Philadelphia owns records of 5-4 SU and 3-6 ATS. Much like Detroit, games featuring the 76ers also have a tendency to finish over the O/U total (66.7 percent).
Philadelphia could dominate on defense as they square off against one of the worst offenses in the league. Since the 2017-18 season, the 76ers rank first in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.494), while Detroit is 22nd in effective field goal percentage (0.510).
Detroit Pistons at Philadelphia 76ers Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
Each team is strong when keeping the opposition to under 100 points, as Philadelphia is 25-0 and Detroit is 22-6.
The 76ers are 59-25 when they reach 100 points, while the Pistons are 39-21.
Philadelphia averages 27.0 assists per game, which ranks second in the NBA. Detroit ranks 26th in assists allowed per game (25.2).
The Pistons rank fifth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.9) while the 76ers rank 25th (18.0).
Philadelphia ranks 10th in blocks per game (5.1) while Detroit ranks 28th (3.9).
The Pistons rank eighth in steals allowed per game (7.2) while the 76ers rank 25th (8.3).
Philadelphia averages 47.9 rebounds per game, which ranks first in the league. Detroit ranks 17th in rebounds allowed per game (43.8).
The 76ers rank second in points allowed in the paint per game (41.8) while the Pistons rank 13th (44.2).
Philadelphia ranks 13th in three pointers attempted per game (30.2) while Detroit ranks 22nd in three pointers allowed per game (30.8).
The Pistons rank second in fast break points allowed per game (9.9) while the 76ers rank sixth (10.8).
Detroit averages 13.0 second chance points per game, which ranks 13th in the league. Philadelphia ranks 14th in second chance points allowed per game (12.4).
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