The Phoenix Suns (19-52) look to put an end to their eight-game losing streak when they clash against the Detroit Pistons (31-39) at Talking Stick Resort Arena. The game starts at 10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 20, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports – Detroit.
Detroit Pistons vs. Phoenix Suns ATS Prediction
In the Pistons’ last contest, they defeated the Sacramento Kings, 106-90. The Pistons knocked down 18 of their 22 free throws (81.8 percent) and had a turnover percentage of 9.2 (better than their season average of 12.1). Detroit rallied around Blake Griffin, who was the game’s high scorer with 26 points on 9-for-18 shooting.
The Suns fell to the Golden State Warriors in their last game, 124-109. Golden State’s turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Phoenix. The Warriors had a rate of 10.6 (better than their season average of 14.0), while the Suns posted a mark of 16.7 (above their season average of 13.3). Phoenix’s Josh Jackson put together a solid performance, leading both teams in scoring with 36 points on 14-for-23 shooting.
This contest should be a battle of opposite tempos. Phoenix prefers to play up-tempo (third in possessions per game), while Detroit is more half-court-oriented (21st in possessions per game).
Detroit comes into the contest with records of 31-39 straight up (SU) and 30-37-2 against the spread (ATS). Of the Pistons’ 69 games with betting action, 38 have finished under the total.
Meanwhile, Phoenix owns records of 19-52 SU and 31-38-2 ATS. In opposition of Detroit, games involving the Suns have gone over the total 49.3 percent of the time.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. Tobias Harris had 20 points and seven rebounds in the first game, in which the Pistons beat the Suns 131-107, covering as 11.5-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 238 points, which was 21 points above the projected point total of 217 points. Detroit’s 0.646 effective field goal percentage was its largest advantage over Phoenix, who had a rate of 0.506.
Detroit Pistons at Phoenix Suns Betting Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Pistons, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Detroit is 15-18-1 ATS on the road with 20 unders, 13 overs and 1 push.
Phoenix is 12-22-1 ATS at home with 18 overs, 16 unders and 1 push.
Phoenix is 6-2 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Detroit is 17-6.
In games where they score over 100 points, the Pistons are 27-17 and the Suns are 15-32.
Detroit ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (9.5) while Phoenix ranks 29th (14.8).
The Pistons rank seventh in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.1) while the Suns rank 29th (18.9).
Detroit ranks eighth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.1) while Phoenix ranks 26th (47.6).
The Pistons rank 10th in steals allowed per game (7.4) while the Suns rank 27th (8.7).
Phoenix ranks 14th in assists allowed per game (23.1) while Detroit ranks 27th (24.9).
The Pistons rank 18th in blocks allowed per game (5.0) while the Suns rank 28th (5.9).
Detroit ranks 17th in rebounds allowed per game (43.6) while Phoenix ranks 27th (45.7).
The Pistons rank 14th in second chance points per game (12.7) while the Suns rank 21st in second chance points allowed per game (13.1).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Detroit is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Phoenix is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Pistons’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.8, up from 1.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 101.2 points per game (3.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 121.2 points per game (7.3 above their season average).
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