The Washington Wizards (11-10) take on the Detroit Pistons (14-6) at Capital One Arena. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, December 1, 2017, and will air on Fox Sports – Detroit.
Detroit Pistons vs. Washington Wizards Free Prediction
The Pistons come in on a high note after thoroughly outplaying the Phoenix Suns in their last contest, 131-107. Detroit’s 0.646 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Phoenix, who had a mark of 0.506. The Pistons’ mark was above their season average of 0.523. Detroit received a boost from Tobias Harris, who had 20 points and seven rebounds.
The last time the Wizards played, they were beaten by the Philadelphia 76ers, 118-113. Philadelphia’s rebounding was their biggest strength. The 76ers had more offensive rebounds (21 vs. seven), defensive rebounds (43 vs. 28) and total rebounds (64 vs. 35). With 22 points on 7-for-15 shooting, Kelly Oubre Jr. was Washington’s high scorer.
Ball security could play an integral role in this matchup. Washington commits the second-fewest miscues in the NBA (turnover percentage of 13.7 percent), while the gambling defense of Detroit forces the fifth-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 15.9 percent).
Detroit holds records of 14-6 straight up (SU) and 14-5-1 against the spread (ATS). Games featuring the Pistons have no tendency in regards to the projected point total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Meanwhile, Washington is 11-10 SU and 11-10 ATS. Of the Wizards’ 21 games, 13 have finished under the total.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. Otto Porter scored a game-high 28 points in the first game, in which the Wizards beat the Pistons 115-111 but did not cover as 6.5-point favorites. He also had nine rebounds. The game finished with a total of 226 points, which was 14.5 points above the projected point total of 211.5 points. The Wizards made 29 of their 35 free throws (82.9 percent) and had a better turnover percentage (15.0 vs. 16.6).
Detroit Pistons vs. Washington Wizards Odds Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Pistons, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Detroit is 8-2 ATS with 6 unders and 4 overs.
Washington is 3-7 ATS at home with 5 overs and 5 unders.
In games where they allow below 100 points, Washington is 8-1 and Detroit is 7-2.
In games where they score above 100 points, the Pistons are 12-2 and the Wizards are 9-6.
Detroit ranks second in second chance points allowed per game (10.0) while Washington ranks 29th (14.0).
The Pistons rank 12th in points in the paint per game (45.3) while the Wizards rank 20th in points allowed in the paint per game (45.6).
Washington ranks 19th in blocks per game (4.3) while Detroit ranks 26th (3.5).
The Wizards rank fourth in steals allowed per game (7.0) while the Pistons rank eighth (7.5).
Detroit ranks fourth in points off turnovers per game (19.4) while Washington ranks eighth (18.6).
The Wizards rank 18th in assists per game (22.1) while the Pistons rank 21st in assists allowed per game (23.8).
Detroit ranks 20th in rebounds per game (42.8) while Washington ranks 21st in rebounds allowed per game (44.4).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Detroit is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Washington is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Pistons’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.0, down from 3.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Wizards have scored an average of 106.6 points per game (1.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.4 points per game (2.0 above their season average).