The Detroit Tigers will make a road trip to Cincinnati to face the Reds at Great American Ball Park. Fox Sports Ohio will televise this interleague showdown and the game gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Detroit (+120) as the underdog to Cincinnati (-130). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds posted at -105 for over 9.5 runs and -115 for under 9.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -175 for the Tigers +1.5 runs and +155 for the Reds -1.5 runs.
The Reds are 38-33 against the spread (ATS), but only 26-45 straight up (SU). The team’s lost 13.6 units for moneyline bettors and 6.3 units (ATS). The Tigers are 36-37 SU and have gone 42-31 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 10.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.1 units ATS.
Reds games have an over/under record of 33-36-2 thus far in 2018. The Tigers have been a good under bet with a total record of 30-41-2.
The left-handed Matthew Boyd is the probable starter for the visiting Tigers. Boyd (4-4, 3.23 ERA) has racked up 59 strikeouts in 75.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Reds are sending righty Sal Romano (3-7, 5.67 ERA) to the mound. Romano has 50 strikeouts and 31 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.48 WHIP. Romano did not record a start against the Tigers in 2017.
Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.18 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.02 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.24, along with a K/9 of 8.35.
Tigers hitters have slashed .251/.312/.401 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (5-0 SU).
Outfielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias continue to lead Detroit’s offense. Castellanos is hitting .310/.353/.502 with nine home runs, 41 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Iglesias has a .261 average with two homers, 27 RBIs, 25 runs and 11 steals.
For the home team, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has given up 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.53, a WHIP of 1.49 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.2. The bullpen has a 4.02 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.
The Cincinnati offense has produced 4.2 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .244/.310/.389 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Reds’ hitters have been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and first baseman Joey Votto. Gennett is hitting .336/.373/.537 with 12 home runs, 48 RBIs and 36 runs scored, and Votto’s line is .302/.425/.444 with six homers, 32 RBIs and 34 runs.
The Tigers have gained 3.4 units and are 29-25 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 19 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 1.1 units and are 10-9 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 11 of those games, compared to seven that went under.
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in three of Detroit’s last seven outings.
Cincinnati has recorded 23.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.4 over its last five.
Both teams have hit nine home runs over their last 10 games.
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