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Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins Free Preview 09/25/18

Patrick Gorski-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Twins are set to do battle against the Detroit Tigers at Target Field. Fox Sports North is in line to showcase the action and the game gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins Odds

Detroit (+150) is entering this one as the underdog to Minnesota (-160) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -110 for both the over and the under. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -145 for the Tigers +1.5 runs and +125 for the Twins -1.5.

The Twins are 81-74 against the spread (ATS), but just 72-83 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 11.3 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 3.0 units (ATS). Minnesota has covered the spread in each of its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Tigers have gone 63-93 SU this year and are 80-76 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 7.5 units for moneyline bettors and 7.0 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Minnesota games have an over/under record of 76-76-3 in 2018. Detroit has been a good under bet with a total record of 67-81-8.

Minnesota’s pitching staff has allowed 4.9 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.57, a WHIP of 1.39 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 4.57 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 69 divisional games, Twins starters have an ERA of 4.69 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.29.

The Minnesota offense is putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .260/.311/.390 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Left fielder Eddie Rosario and first baseman Joe Mauer have paced the Twins’ offense this year. Rosario is slashing .288/.323/.479 with 24 home runs, 77 RBIs and 87 runs scored, while Mauer is hitting .276 with six homers, 46 RBIs and 55 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.53 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.39 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.44, along with a WHIP of 1.30.

The Tigers offense has slashed .242/.303/.383 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and third baseman Jeimer Candelario have led Detroit’s offense. Castellanos is hitting .302/.357/.504 with 22 home runs, 86 RBIs and 83 runs scored, while Candelario (.226/.316/.402) has produced 19 homers, 53 RBIs and 75 runs scored.

The Twins have lost 4.2 units and are 60-52 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 57 of those games, compared to 53 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.

Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has hit in three of Detroit’s last seven contests.

The Tigers have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.

The Detroit defense has allowed six errors over its last five games, compared to two errors for Minnesota over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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