The Detroit Tigers will face the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. New England Sports Network will showcase this AL matchup and the action gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Detroit (+160) as the underdog to Boston (-170). The total sits at 9.5 runs and gamblers can take the over or the under for -110. Runline odds stand at -135 for betting the Tigers +1.5 runs and +115 for the Red Sox -1.5 runs.
The Tigers are 29-34 SU and have gone 35-27 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 6.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.3 units ATS. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 43-19 SU and 34-27 ATS. The team has gained 15.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.6 units ATS.
Red Sox games have an over/under record of 31-28-2 so far in 2018. The Tigers have been a decent under bet with a total record of 27-33-2.
Left-hander Matthew Boyd is getting the nod for the visiting Tigers. Boyd is 3-4 with a 3.23 ERA and 48 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Red Sox are sending lefty Jalen Beeks (0-0, ERA) to the hill. Beeks has zero strikeouts and zero walks to his name, as well as a WHIP. Beeks did not pitch in the majors last season.
Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.38 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 6.91 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.29, along with a K-per-9 of 8.37.
Tigers hitters have slashed .254/.314/.405 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game this season, including 3.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Detroit’s hitters have been led by outfielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is hitting .333/.375/.514 with six home runs, 33 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Iglesias has a .256 average with two homers, 21 RBIs, 23 runs and nine stolen bases.
In the home-team dugout, Boston’s pitchers have yielded 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.76, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.10, a WHIP of 1.20 and a K/9 of 9.4.
The Boston offense is putting up 5.4 runs per outing, including 5.5 per game over its last 10 games and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .285/.346/.517 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Red Sox hitters have been led by J.D. Martinez and Andrew Benintendi. Martinez is slashing .317/.375/.652 with 20 home runs, 52 RBIs and 40 runs scored, while Benintendi’s line is .296/.378/.544 with 10 homers, 43 RBIs, 44 runs and 10 steals.
The Tigers have gained 6.7 units and are 12-5 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 2.0 units and are 4-8 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in six of those games, compared to six that went under the total.
Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in only two of Boston’s last seven games.
The Tigers have lost four of their last five games SU.
Boston has posted 24.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.6 over its last five.
The Tigers have hit five home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 16 over their last 10.
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