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Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox Free Pick 09/05/18

Patrick Gorski-USA TODAY Sports

The Detroit Tigers will face their division rival Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field. The action will get going at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to NBC Sports Chicago to catch the game.

Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox Odds

Chicago (-150) is favored over Detroit (+140) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at Tigers +1.5 runs (-155) and White Sox -1.5 runs (+135).

The White Sox are 72-66 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 56-83 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 7.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 1.1 units (ATS). Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. On the other hand, the Tigers are 56-83 SU and have gone 70-68 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 8.3 units for moneyline bettors and 9.2 units ATS. Detroit is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

White Sox games have a 65-67-6 over/under record in 2018. Detroit has been a good under bet with a total record of 58-73-7.

Jordan Zimmermann is getting the start for Detroit. The right-handed Zimmermann is 6-6 with a 4.22 ERA and 94 strikeouts. He’s 0-2 with 16 strikeouts and an 8.85 ERA against Chicago this year (four starts).

The White Sox are handing the ball to Michael Kopech (1-0, 0.82 ERA), who’s got nine strikeouts and one walks to his name, as well as a 1.09 WHIP. Kopech is 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Detroit this year.

Chicago’s pitching staff has given up 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 4.93 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.50 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 62 games against divisional opponents, White Sox starters have an ERA of 4.62 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.31.

The Chicago offense is putting up 4.2 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .278/.341/.462 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez have led the White Sox batters this year. Abreu is slashing .272/.331/.491 with 22 home runs, 78 RBIs and 67 runs scored, and Sanchez’s line is .250/.317/.379 with seven homers, 47 RBIs, 53 runs and 13 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.54 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 7.32 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.55, along with a K-per-9 of 8.07.

Tigers hitters have slashed .243/.302/.383 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game this season, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias have paced Detroit’s hitters. Castellanos is slashing .289/.343/.484 with 20 home runs, 75 RBIs and 75 runs scored. Iglesias is hitting .269/.310/.389 with five homers, 48 RBIs, 43 runs and 15 stolen bases.

The White Sox have lost 4.0 units and are 54-49 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 50 of those games, compared to 48 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.

Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – White Sox, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in four of Detroit’s last seven games.

Chicago has posted 23.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.2 over its last five.

The Tigers have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The White Sox have hit 10 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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