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Detroit Tigers vs Cincinnati Reds Pick and Betting Predictions

In the first of a two-game series between the Detroit Tigers (33-30) and the Cincinnati Reds (33-30) at Comerica Park, Anibal Sanchez (4-7, 5.16 ERA) and Jon Moscot (1-1, 4.91 ERA) get the start. The game gets underway at 7:08 p.m. ET on Monday, Jun. 15 and will air on FSN-OH and FSN-DET.

In his last start, Sanchez pitched 7.2 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out seven and walking two in a 6-0 victory over the Cubs. Miguel Cabrera (.341, 36 Rs, 14 HRs, 45 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong season yesterday, going 3 for 4 with three runs, one home run, and one RBI. The Reds were victorious over the Phillies 5-2 the last time Moscot pitched. He went 6.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out two and walking two. Joey Votto (.298, 34 Rs, 14 HRs, 36 RBIs, 5 SBs) has been doing well, going 2 for 5 yesterday.

Detroit is a -170 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Tigers have a 21-17 record and overall money line at +35. They are 3-1 as the favorite over their last 10 games. Detroit has averaged 3.5 runs per game during interleague play, lower than its season average of 4.2. They have been a terror on the base paths, ranking fourth in all of baseball with 49 steals. In games against National League opponents, Detroit’s pitchers are doing better against opposing batters. It only gives up an average of 3.5 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.1.

Across the field, the Reds have a subpar record of 11-24 when they are the underdog and are -728 overall with the money line. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 1-5 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 5-5. When it comes to scoring runs, the Reds haven’t performed as well against teams from the AL. During those games, they averaged two runs per game, below their 4.1 season average. Cincinnati is one of the top home-run-hitting teams in the league with 74 home runs. Cincinnati is a terror on the base paths, with an MLB-best 65 stolen bases. Playing AL opponents really brings the worst out of the Cincinnati pitchers. They allow 5.0 runs per game against teams in the AL, which is higher than their season average of 4.3.

This game will feature Moscot (RHP) on the mound against the Tigers, who have a 23-24 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Reds will be the right-hander Sanchez. They sport a 21-25 record against righties.

Predictions: SU Winner – DET, O/U – Over

Notes

Detroit recorded at least two errors for the fifth time this season.

The Tigers are 3-2 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Reds are 2-5 in such matchups.

Having scored one run in their last game, the Reds are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Tigers have an 18-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.

When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 20-8. The Tigers have a 29-8 record when outhitting opponents.

Ranking 17th, Cincinnati sits in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring 252 this season. Detroit ranks in the top half at 13th with 264.

Ranking 12th, Detroit is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 193 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 201.

When the Tigers hit at least one home run, they are 23-10. When the Reds hit at least one homer, they have a 24-18 record.

Written by GMS Previews

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