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Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians Betting Preview

Tigers vs Indians
Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports

The Detroit Tigers will pay a visit to Cleveland to take on their divisional rival Indians at Progressive Field. SportsTime Ohio will be televising the action and the opening pitch is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET.

Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians Odds

Cleveland (-105) is the underdog to Detroit (-115) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at eight runs (-125 for the over and +105 for the under). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at +190 for the Tigers +1.5 runs and -210 for the Indians -1.5 runs.

The Indians are 4-5 SU and 1-7 ATS. They’ve lost 4.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.0 units against the spread (ATS). The Tigers are 4-4 SU and have gone 3-4 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 0.9 units for moneyline bettors over the early part of the year and 1.2 units ATS.

Cleveland games have an over/under record of 3-5 so far in 2018. The Tigers have an over/under record of 3-4.

The Tigers have lost 0.9 units and are 3-4 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in three of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Indians have netted 0.5 units and are 0-3 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in one of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under.

Francisco Liriano (1-0, 1.35 ERA) will get the start for Detroit. The left-handed Liriano started 18 games last year while finishing the season 6-7 overall with a 5.66 ERA and a 1.63 WHIP.

The Indians will be turning to righty Corey Kluber (0-1, 2.40 ERA), who struck out 265 hitters over 203 innings last year (with only 36 walks), while finishing the season 18-4 overall with a 2.25 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP. He made five starts against the Tigers a year ago and assembled a 3-1 record with a 3.73 ERA and 35 strikeouts.

Cleveland’s pitching staff has allowed 3.6 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.74 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 3.12, a WHIP of 1.00 and a K/9 of 9.3. In three games against divisional foes, Indians starters have an ERA of 1.69 and the bullpen’s ERA is 0.00.

The Cleveland offense has put up 3.0 runs per outing, including 2.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .133/.227/.188 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Edwin Encarnacion and Lonnie Chisenhall have led the Indians’ offense this year. Encarnacion is slashing .194/.306/.484 with six hits, four RBIs and four runs scored, and Chisenhall’s line is .235/.381/.294 with four hits, zero RBIs and three runs.

In the visiting dugout, Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.18 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 6.15 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.98, along with a K-per-9 of 7.96.

Tigers hitters have slashed .230/.324/.338 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Detroit’s hitters have been led by right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and first baseman Miguel Cabrera. Castellanos is slashing .324/.395/.500 with 11 hits, three RBIs and eight runs scored, while Cabrera is hitting .276 with eight hits, nine RBIs and four runs scored.

Castellanos seemed to have some trouble hitting right-handed pitchers on the road last year, putting up a slash line of .212/.264/.360 across 239 such plate appearances (his total season line was .272/.320/.490).

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – UNDER

Notes

Betting Notes

The Tigers went 6-13 SU against the Indians in 2017.

The Indians’ bullpen managed 3.00 ERA against the Tigers last year.

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Written by GMS Previews

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