The Detroit Tigers are making a road trip to Minneapolis to face their division rival Minnesota Twins at Target Field. The game gets underway 8:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports North will be showing the action.
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Detroit (+150) as the underdog to Minnesota (-160). Gamblers can bet on the game’s total with odds posted at even money (+100) for over 9.5 runs and -120 for under 9.5. The game’s runline odds stand at -145 for betting the Tigers +1.5 runs and +125 for the Twins -1.5.
The Twins are 64-54 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 56-63 straight up (SU). The team’s lost 8.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 7.0 units (ATS). Minnesota has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Tigers are 50-71 SU and have gone 62-58 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 3.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 5.7 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Twins games have an over/under record of 55-60-3 in 2018. The Tigers have been a solid under bet with a total record of 46-68-6.
Francisco Liriano will get the nod for the visiting Tigers. The left-handed Liriano (3-7, 4.42 ERA) has recorded 76 strikeouts in 95.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA against Minnesota this year.
The Twins are handing the ball to righty Ervin Santana (0-1, 6.53 ERA), who has 14 strikeouts and six walks, as well as a 1.45 WHIP. Santana is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 7.50 ERA in one start against Detroit this year.
Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.41 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.22 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.38, along with a WHIP of 1.30 and a K-per-9 of 7.97.
The Tigers offense has slashed .240/.299/.375 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias continue to lead Detroit’s offense. Castellanos is slashing .290/.340/.488 with 17 home runs, 66 RBIs and 63 runs scored, while Iglesias (.264/.306/.389) has produced five homers, 48 RBIs, 38 runs and 14 stolen bases.
For the home team, Minnesota’s pitching staff has yielded 4.6 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.33, a WHIP of 1.36 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 4.57 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 49 divisional games, Twins starters have an ERA of 4.32 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.19.
The Minnesota hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .251/.290/.383 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Twins’ hitters have been led by outfielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar. Rosario is slashing .295/.336/.493 with 20 home runs, 67 RBIs and 76 runs scored, while Escobar’s line is .274/.338/.514 with 15 homers, 63 RBIs and 45 runs.
The Tigers have lost 11.1 units and are 42-47 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 31 of those games, compared to 53 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 2.5 units and are 19-14 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in 12 of those games, compared to 20 that went under the total.
Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Detroit has tallied 11 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Minnesota has 13 XBH over its last five.
Minnesota has posted 19.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.8 over its last five.
The Tigers have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit eight over their last 10.
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