The Minnesota Twins are going for their fourth consecutive victory as they play host to the Detroit Tigers at Target Field. Fox Sports North will broadcast the matchup. The first pitch will be at 8:10 p.m. ET.
Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Detroit (+155) as the underdog to Minnesota (-165). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over nine runs and +100 for under nine. Runline odds sit at -140 for picking the Tigers +1.5 runs and +120 for the Twins -1.5.
The Tigers are 50-72 SU and have gone 62-59 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.7 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 57-63 SU and 65-54 ATS. They’ve lost 7.9 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 8.7 units ATS. Minnesota has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.
Twins games have had an over/under record of 56-60-3 in 2018. The Tigers have been a strong under bet with a total record of 47-68-6.
Matthew Boyd will get the nod for the visiting Tigers. The left-handed Boyd (7-10, 4.20 ERA) has racked up 114 strikeouts in 128.2 innings so far. He’s 1-1 with eight strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against Minnesota this year (three starts).
The Twins will send righty Kyle Gibson (6-9, 3.49 ERA) to the mound. Gibson has 139 strikeouts and 58 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.24. Gibson is 1-1 with seven strikeouts and a 2.77 ERA over two starts against Detroit this year.
Minnesota’s pitching staff has yielded 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.40, a WHIP of 1.36 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 4.54 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 50 games against AL Central opponents, Twins starters have an ERA of 4.48 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.15.
The Minnesota offense is putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .278/.333/.462 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Left fielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar have led the Twins’ offense this year. Rosario is hitting .295/.336/.492 with 20 home runs, 68 RBIs and 76 runs scored, while Escobar is hitting .274 with 15 homers, 63 RBIs and 45 runs.
In the other dugout, Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.46 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 7.22 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.44, along with a K-per-9 of 8.04.
The Tigers offense has slashed .240/.300/.377 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game this year, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Detroit’s hitters have been led by right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is slashing .292/.343/.497 with 18 home runs, 68 RBIs and 65 runs scored. Iglesias is hitting .264/.306/.389 with five homers, 48 RBIs, 38 runs and 14 stolen bases.
The Tigers have lost 11.1 units and are 42-47 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 31 of those games, compared to 53 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 2.5 units and are 19-14 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to 20 that went under the total.
Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in four of Detroit’s last seven games.
Each team has hit 10 home runs over its last 10 outings.
The Detroit defense has allowed six errors over its last five games, compared to two errors for Minnesota over its last five.
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