The Minnesota Twins are playing host to their AL Central rival Detroit Tigers at Target Field. Fox Sports North will be airing the matchup and the game is scheduled to get going at 2:10 p.m. ET.
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins Odds
The Twins are 66-55 against the spread (ATS), but just 58-64 straight up (SU). The team has lost 5.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 8.9 units (ATS). Minnesota has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Tigers are 51-73 SU and have gone 63-60 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 7.0 units for moneyline bettors and 7.1 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Twins games have a 58-60-3 over/under record in 2018. Detroit has been a strong under bet with a total record of 49-68-6.
The right-handed Jacob Turner will get the nod for the visiting Tigers. Turner is 0-1 with a 20.25 ERA and three strikeouts. He has yet to face the Twins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Twins will put the ball in the right hand of Jake Odorizzi (5-7, 4.44 ERA, 1.39 WHIP), who has 129 strikeouts and 51 walks. Odorizzi is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA in one start against Detroit this year.
As a unit, Minnesota’s pitching staff has given up 4.7 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 4.42 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.53 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 52 games against AL Central opponents, Twins starters have an ERA of 4.52 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.20.
Minnesota’s hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 7.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .292/.339/.556 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Twins’ hitters have been led by outfielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar. Rosario is slashing .294/.334/.493 with 21 home runs, 69 RBIs and 77 runs scored, and Escobar is hitting .274 with 15 homers, 63 RBIs and 45 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.47 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.23 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.44, along with a K/9 of 8.04.
The Tigers offense has slashed .240/.301/.377 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Outfielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias continue to lead Detroit’s hitters. Castellanos is slashing .290/.342/.492 with 18 home runs, 69 RBIs and 67 runs scored, while Iglesias is hitting .264/.306/.389 with five homers, 48 RBIs, 39 runs and 14 stolen bases.
The Tigers have lost 13.1 units and are 43-48 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over’s hit in 33 of those games, compared to 53 that’ve gone under against righty starters.
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in four of Minnesota’s last seven games.
The Tigers have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
Minnesota has recorded 22.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27.2 over its last five.
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