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Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free Preview 06/30/18

Nick Turchiaro-USA TODAY Sports

The Detroit Tigers will be squaring off against the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. The opening pitch is scheduled for 1:07 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Detroit will broadcast this AL matchup.

Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Detroit (+160) is the underdog to Toronto (-170) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this day game at 9.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at Tigers +1.5 runs (-135) and Blue Jays -1.5 runs (+115).

The Tigers have gone just 36-47 SU this year and are 43-39 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 1.6 units for moneyline bettors, despite having lost 3.1 units ATS. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 38-43 SU and 39-41 ATS. The team’s lost 4.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.4 units ATS.

Blue Jays games have an over/under record of 38-34-8 so far in 2018. Detroit has been a decent under bet with a total record of 34-46-2.

Southpaw Matthew Boyd is getting the start for the visiting Tigers. Boyd is 4-6 with a 4.15 ERA and 69 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 5.14 ERA against Toronto this year.

The Blue Jays are sending righty Sam Gaviglio (2-2, 3.98 ERA) to the mound. Gaviglio has 40 strikeouts and 11 walks to his name, as well as a 1.23 WHIP. Gaviglio has yet to face the Tigers this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 3.60 ERA across five innings).

As a unit, Toronto’s pitching staff has given up 4.9 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 4.83 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.15 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.

Toronto’s hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .262/.324/.442 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Blue Jays’ offense has been led by third baseman Yangervis Solarte and right fielder Kevin Pillar. Solarte is slashing .252/.308/.452 with 15 home runs, 45 RBIs and 40 runs scored, and Pillar’s line is .250/.284/.411 with seven homers, 29 RBIs, 37 runs and 10 stolen bases.

For the visitors, Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.30 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.15 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.67, along with a WHIP of 1.29.

Tigers hitters have slashed .247/.308/.389 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game this year, including 2.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).

Detroit’s offense has been sparked by outfielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is hitting .307/.354/.508 with 11 home runs, 47 RBIs and 41 runs scored, while Iglesias is hitting .270/.312/.383 with two homers, 28 RBIs, 26 runs and 12 stolen bases.

The Tigers have lost 4.6 units and are 30-32 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 23 of those games, compared to 37 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have lost 12.6 units and are 15-15 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 13 of those games, compared to 13 which went under the total.

Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has hit in four of Detroit’s last seven games.

Toronto has posted 21.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 22.4 over its last five.

The Tigers have hit five home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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