In a battle featuring two schools that like running the football, Hurricanes (-8) are gearing up to welcome the Duke Blue Devils to Miami (Fl). ESPN2 is scheduled to broadcast the action and this pivotal conference showdown gets underway at 7:00 p.m. ET. These teams faced off last year with the final result being a 31-6 victory for Miami (FL).
Duke Blue Devils vs. Miami (FL) Hurricanes Betting Preview
Duke is projected as the underdog and is currently getting 8 points in this ACC game. The Blue Devils are also receiving +260 moneyline odds while the Hurricanes are -340. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 48 points, and should one program catches a lucky break in the early stages, it’ll likely generate a worthy live betting opportunity.
Square bettors are hammering the Hurricanes, as the line opened at -7. The game’s O/U has yet to change after it was initially set at 48.
The Blue Devils are 4-4 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 2.6 units so far in 2018. The team’s posted an O/U record of 4-4. The Hurricanes have lost 3.3 units this season. The team is 3-5 ATS and the over’s hit in five of its games.
The Blue Devils are 5-3 straight up (SU), including 1-3 SU against conference opponents. The Hurricanes are 5-3 SU overall and 2-2 SU in conference play.
Both teams enter the contest having lost two straight. The Blue Devils are trying to get back in stride after a 54-45 defeat to Pittsburgh last week. Daniel Jones completed 27 passes for 396 yards and four touchdowns. Jones (38 rushing yards on 15 attempts) also led the ground attack and was complemented by Deon Jackson (162 yards on 10 carries). T.J. Rahming (nine receptions, 78 yards, two TDs) and Johnathan Lloyd (seven catches, 136 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
Miami (FL) just fell 27-14 to Boston College. The defense allowed the Eagles to rush for 223 yards on 53 attempts, including two rush TDs. AJ Dillon torched the defense, putting up 149 rushing yards and a score on 32 attempts for Boston College. For Miami (FL), Malik Rosier completed 19-of-36 passes for 150 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Rosier (71 rushing yards on 14 attempts) and Travis Homer (40 yards on 13 carries) spearheaded the running game as Brevin Jordan (eight receptions, 36 yards) and Jeff Thomas (four catches, 31 yards) led all Miami (FL) pass-catchers in the loss.
Duke has run the ball on 54.0 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Miami (FL) has a rush percentage of 58.0 percent. The Blue Devils have produced 166 rush yards per game (including 113 per game versus Atlantic Coast opponents) and have 12 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Hurricanes are averaging 184 rushing yards per game (159 in conference) and have 16 total rush TDs.
If 2018 numbers can translate to this game, then it appears the Hurricanes ought to hold an edge in terms of effectiveness in the ground game, as their backfield has produced 4.6 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 3.1 to opponents. The Blue Devils have tallied 4.3 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.4 to opponents.
The Blue Devils offense has logged 244 yards per contest in the air overall (280 per game against conference opposition) and has 21 passing scores so far. The Hurricanes have recorded 204 pass yards per contest (167.3 in the ACC) and have 17 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Duke has let opponents rush for an average of 188 yards and pass for 201 yards per game. The Miami (FL) D has allowed 140.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 120.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Hurricanes are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 2.49 to opponents, while the Blue Devils have allowed a 6.11 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Jones has amassed 1,217 yards this season, and has completed 96-of-143 attempts with 12 scores through the air and only two interceptions. Jones has an 8.39 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.92 over the last two outings.
Malik Rosier has completed 57-of-109 passes for 761 yards, six TDs and four INTs for Miami (FL). His ANY/A stands at 5.53 for the season and 2.59 across his past two outings.
RELATED: Week 10 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
NCAA Prediction: Duke Blue Devils vs. Miami (FL) Hurricanes
SU Winner – Miami (FL), ATS Winner – Miami (FL), O/U – Over
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Betting Trends
The Over/Under for Duke’s previous game was set at 46. The over cashed in the team’s 54-45 defeat to Pittsburgh.
Duke has produced 4.0 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.6 over its last two.
Miami (FL) has averaged 3.7 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.7 over its last two.
Miami (FL) has lost four fumbles this season while Duke has lost five.
Over its last three matches, Duke is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Duke has lost four of its last five games SU, with a 14-point win over Georgia Tech on October 13th accounting for the only victory over that span.
The O/U for Miami (FL)’s previous matchup going into it was 49.5. The under cashed in the 27-14 defeat to Boston College.
In its last three games, Miami (FL) is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The Blue Devils offense has tallied eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Hurricanes have put up six such plays.
The Duke defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Miami (FL) has given up two such plays.
The Duke offense has created 12 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Miami (FL) has created 11 such runs.
The Blue Devils defense has allowed 12 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Hurricanes have given up 11 such runs.
The Miami (FL) D has sacked opposing quarterbacks 26 times this year. Duke has registered just 16 sacks.
*****
