The St. Bonaventure Bonnies (20-6, 10-4 A10) put their eight-game winning streak on the line when they go head-to-head against the Duquesne Dukes (15-12, 6-8 A10) at Reilly Center. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 21, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 149 points with St. Bonaventure opening as a 13-point favorite.
Duquesne Dukes at St. Bonaventure Bonnies Betting Prediction
The Dukes are hoping for a better outcome after their 82-75 loss to the Saint Joseph’s Hawks in their last contest. Getting to the charity stripe was one of Saint Joseph’s’ biggest strengths. They had 29 free throw attempts, while Duquesne had 17. Duquesne’s Eric Williams Jr. had a good game, putting up 18 points and 12 rebounds.
The last time the Bonnies played, they won a close one over the No. 16 Rhode Island Rams, 77-74. The Bonnies forced 17 turnovers and had a free throw rate of 0.317 (above their season average of 0.289). Matt Mobley was the top scorer from either team with 26 points on 8-for-17 shooting.
When considering effective field goal percentage, St. Bonaventure should have a significant edge. The Bonnies defense ranks 81st in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.486), while the Duquesne offense is ranked 259th in effective field goal percentage (0.494).
Duquesne holds records of 15-12 straight up (SU) and 11-8 against the spread (ATS). A little over half of the Dukes’ games have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, St. Bonaventure is 20-6 SU and 12-11 ATS. Games featuring the Bonnies tend to finish over the O/U total (56.5 percent).
Jaylen Adams and Courtney Stockard have played at a high level over the last five games for St. Bonaventure. Adams has averaged 27.8 points, 6.6 assists and 2.2 steals per game. Not to be outdone, Stockard has put up 10.2 points, 6.8 rebounds, 3.6 assists and 1.2 steals a game during that span.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Adams scored a game-high 40 points and the Bonnies beat the Dukes 84-81 but could not cover as 4-point favorites. He also had seven assists. The game finished with a total of 165 points, which was 24 points above the projected point total of 141 points. St. Bonaventure won the rebounding battle. The Bonnies had 15 offensive rebounds and 34 total rebounds, while the Dukes had eight and 31, respectively.
Duquesne Dukes at St. Bonaventure Bonnies Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – St. Bonaventure, ATS Winner – St. Bonaventure, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Duquesne is 5-5 ATS with 6 unders and 4 overs.
At home, St. Bonaventure is 6-4 ATS with 6 overs and 4 unders.
Duquesne ranks 15th in three pointers allowed per game (17.9) while St. Bonaventure ranks 184th (22.7).
The Dukes rank 28th in blocks per game (4.7) while the Bonnies rank 175th in blocks allowed per game (4.2).
St. Bonaventure ranks 110th in assists per game (14.4) while Duquesne ranks 237th (11.8).
The Dukes average 37.2 rebounds per game, which ranks 78th in the nation. The Bonnies rank 149th in rebounds allowed per game (34.6).
St. Bonaventure allows the 36th-fewest steals per game (5.2) while Duquesne ranks 38th (5.2).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Duquesne is 3-2 ATS with 5 overs.
St. Bonaventure is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Dukes have been outscored by an average of 9.2 points in their last five games. For the season, Duquesne has defeated opponents by an average of 3.9 points.
During their last five games, the Bonnies have scored an average of 83.2 points per game (5.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 73.4 points per game (3.6 above their season average).
