The No. 24 Purdue Boilermakers and Fairfield Stags commence their seasons at Mackey Arena. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 6, 2018.
Purdue is a 21-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 150 points.
Fairfield Stags at Purdue Boilermakers Betting Prediction
Purdue went 28-6 in the regular season last season, earning them a two seed in the tournament. They made it to the Sweet 16, where they fell to the Texas Tech Red Raiders. Fairfield, meanwhile, failed to make the tournament following a 17-16 regular season.
The Boilermakers won the only contest against the Stags last season, 106-64. The Boilermakers had a much better turnover percentage (9.9 vs. 25.1) and had a better free throw rate (0.149 vs. 0.083).
Last season, the Stags had records of 17-16 straight up (SU) and 15-11 against the spread (ATS). Of Fairfield’s 26 games that accepted bets last season, 16 finished under the projected point total.
The Boilermakers, meanwhile, owned records of 28-6 SU and 19-11-2 ATS last season. Contrary to Fairfield, games involving Purdue went over the O/U total 59.4 percent of the time.
The sharp-shooting offense of Purdue will battle against the bottom-tier defense of Fairfield. In the 2017-18 season, the Boilermakers offense ranked sixth in effective field goal percentage (0.577), while the Fairfield defense ranked 266th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.525). The Boilermakers figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball. This contest should be a matchup of contrasting styles. The fast-paced Stags ranked 42nd in possessions per game, while the more methodical Boilermakers ranked 263rd.
Fairfield at Purdue Free Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Purdue, ATS Winner – Fairfield, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
Purdue ranks 52nd in rebounds allowed per game (32.4) while Fairfield ranks 272nd (37.7).
Purdue ranks 26th in blocks per game (4.9) while the Stags rank 188th (2.9).
Fairfield ranks 19th in three pointers attempted per game (27.1) while Purdue ranks 125th (22.7).
The Boilermakers rank 35th in steals allowed per game (5.1) while the Stags rank 124th (6.0).
Purdue averages 16.2 assists per game, which ranks 26th in the nation. Fairfield ranks 113th in assists allowed per game (12.8).
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