This week’s game between the No. 8 Florida Gators (6-0, 4-0) and the No. 6 Louisiana State Tigers (5-0, 3-0) has the makings of a pivotal SEC game as both teams head into this week undefeated. The nation’s top rusher, Leonard Fournette (1,022 yards, 12 TDs), will have a major impact on this matchup. It will begin Saturday, Oct 17 at 7:00 p.m. ET and can be seen on ESPN.
LSU blew out South Carolina 45-24 last week. Derrius Guice had an outstanding performance on the ground in the win, rushing for 161 yards and one TD on 16 carries. Travin Dural had a big game as well, totaling 109 receiving yards and a TD on four receptions. Florida managed to get the win as well, beating Missouri 21-3. Demarcus Robinson had a solid game for the Gators, totaling six receptions for 79 yards. Kelvin Taylor also had a big game with 99 rushing yards and two TDs on 28 attempts.
The Tigers, a six-point favorite, will be looking to defend their home field when Florida visits. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is currently unavailable.
Despite a 5-0 Straight Up (SU) record this season, the Tigers have not fared well Against The Spread (ATS) with a 2-3 record. The Tigers run the ball frequently. They rush 48 times per game, which is the 17th best in the nation. Transitioning to the LSU defense, there are some things to keep in mind when it is on the field. The Gators might have a difficult time running the ball against the 12th-best run defense in the nation. The Tigers give up 99.6 rushing yards per game.
Across the field, the Gators have 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS records this season. The Gators may be able to focus their attention on other areas, because LSU’s passing game has not been reliable this year. The Tigers rank 122nd in the nation with 122 passing yards per game. Prepare to see a lot of yellow flags flying around when the Tigers are playing. They are one of the most penalized teams in the nation with 71 penalty yards per game.
Predictions: SU Winner – Florida, ATS Winner – Florida
Notes
LSU is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LSU’s last 6 games.
LSU is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home.
LSU is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida.
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of LSU’s last 18 games when playing Florida.
LSU is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Florida.
LSU is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Florida.
Each team is 5-0 SU when leading at halftime this season.
Since the beginning of last season, LSU is 7-4 SU against SEC opponents, while Florida is 8-4 SU against conference foes.