The No. 25 Florida Gators (-4.5) and Tennessee Volunteers are ready to square off on the grass at Neyland Stadium. ESPN will televise the action and kickoff will take place at 7:00 p.m. ET.
Florida Gators at Tennessee Volunteers Betting Preview
Tennessee is a live dog in this one and is currently getting 4.5 points. If they want to play the moneyline, bettors would currently have to put down $200 in order to net $100 back on the Gators (-200). The Volunteers are getting +170 moneyline odds. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 49 points. Should the underdog gets out in front early on, it’ll probably generate a worthy betting opportunity in-game.
This game’s total has not moved after being set initially at 49. Having said that, the opening line was 5.5 and the sharp action has been siding with the Vols.
The hapless Gators are 2-1 against the spread (ATS) and are down 6.0 units so far in 2018. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an Over-Under mark of 0-2. The Volunteers are down 1.0 unit for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 1-2 ATS and have an O/U record of 1-2.
The Gators have gone 2-1 straight up (SU), including 0-1 SU against SEC opponents. The Volunteers are 2-1 SU overall and 0-0 SU in conference play.
These two teams faced off last year with the final outcome being a 26-20 win for Florida.
The Gators are trying to maintain momentum following a solid 48-10 victory over Colorado State last week. Feleipe Franks completed only eight-of-15 passes for 119 yards, two scores and one interception. Franks (25 yards on seven rush attempts) also led the ground attack. Van Jefferson (two receptions, 62 yards, one TD) and Jordan Scarlett (two catches, 14 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.
Tennessee is coming off of a 24-0 win over UTEP. Jarrett Guarantano completed 12-of-16 passes for 168 yards and one touchdown. Tim Jordan (49 yards on 13 rush attempts, one TD) and Ty Chandler (158 yards on 12 carries, one TD) handled the running game while Brandon Johnson (four receptions, 51 yards) and Jauan Jennings (three catches, 22 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Florida has run the ball on 54.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Tennessee has an overall rush percentage of 68.8 percent. The Gators have run for 185 yards per game and have three scores on the ground this year. The Vols are totaling 221 rushing yards per game and have eight total rush TDs.
The Gators offensive scheme has averaged 197 yards through the air overall and has nine passing TDs so far. The Vols have put up 188 pass yards per outing and have three total pass scores.
Florida appears to have an edge when it comes to limiting the pass. The team’s allowed opponents to run for an average of 198 yards and pass for 131 yards per game. The Tennessee D has given up 179.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 112.7 yards per game to opposing runners. The Gators are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 3.78 to opponents, while the Vols have given up a 5.81 ANY/A.
Offensively, Franks has put up 338 passing yards this year, and has connected on 62 percent of his 39 attempts with seven scores through the air and only one interception. Franks has a 10.75 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 5.79 over the past two outings.
Jarrett Guarantano has managed to complete 31-of-41 passes for 340 yards, two TDs and zero INTs for Tennessee. His ANY/A sits at 7.93 for the season and 10.06 over his past two outings.
NCAA Pick: Florida Gators at Tennessee Volunteers
SU Winner – Florida, ATS Winner – Florida, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Trends
Florida was favored by 22 points in its last game and the Over/Under was set at 59.5. The under cashed and Florida covered in the 48-10 win over Colorado State.
Florida has rushed for 6.0 yards per carry over its past two games.
Tennessee has averaged 5.7 YPC over its last two.
Tennessee has lost two fumbles this season while Florida has lost one.
Tennessee was favored by 34 points in its last outing and the Over/Under going into it was 52.5. The under cashed and Tennessee failed to cover in the 24-0 win over UTEP.
In its last three matchups, Tennessee is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The Gators offense has produced one pass play of 40 or more yards, while the Volunteers have accounted for four such plays.
The Florida defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Tennessee has given up one such play.
The Florida offense has created five rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Tennessee has created six such runs.
The Gators defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Volunteers have given up three such runs.
The Florida defense has eight sacks on the year while Tennessee has five.
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