The George Washington Colonials (14-17, 7-11 A10) go head-to-head with the Fordham Rams (9-21, 4-14 A10) in the Atlantic 10 Conference Tourney at Capital One Arena. The game begins at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 7, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 128.5 points with George Washington set as a 6.5-point favorite.
Fordham Rams vs. George Washington Colonials Free Prediction
The Rams are hoping for a better outcome after their 83-58 loss to the VCU Rams in their last outing. VCU launched 22 three pointers, making 12 of them (54.5 percent), while Fordham was just 4-21 (19.0 percent). Joseph Chartouny led Fordham in scoring with 16 points on 6-for-12 shooting.
In the Colonials’ last matchup, they were beaten by the Dayton Flyers, 88-78. Dayton’s turnover percentage was their largest advantage over George Washington. The Flyers had a rate of 11.7 (better than their season average of 18.7), while the Colonials posted a mark of 18.4. With 13 points and 10 rebounds, George Washington’s Arnaldo Toro put together a solid performance.
Half-court execution will be critical when a pair of the nation’s slowest-paced teams face off. George Washington currently ranks 324th in possessions per game (66.0) and Fordham is 306th (66.6). Furthermore, the Rams rank 332nd in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.190), while the Colonials rank 40th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.192).
Fordham holds records of 9-21 straight up (SU) and 7-19 against the spread (ATS). Of the Rams’ 26 games that accepted bets, 15 have finished under the total.
Meanwhile, George Washington owns records of 14-17 SU and 11-16 ATS. In opposition of Fordham, a little over half of Colonials games have finished over the O/U total.
Yuta Watanabe has averaged 21.0 points, 6.0 rebounds, 2.0 blocks and 1.2 steals over the last five games for George Washington.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. Watanabe scored a game-high 31 points in the first game, in which the Colonials defeated the Rams 72-56, covering as 7.5-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 128 points, which was just 3.5 points below the projected point total of 131.5 points. The Colonials knocked down 10 of their 11 free throws (90.9 percent) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.534 vs. 0.377).
Fordham Rams vs. George Washington Colonials Betting Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – George Washington, ATS Winner – George Washington, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Fordham ranks 48th in three pointers attempted per game (25.2) while George Washington ranks 286th (17.2).
The Colonials rank 85th in rebounds allowed per game (33.3) while the Rams rank 275th (38.5).
George Washington ranks 22nd in blocks per game (5.0) while Fordham ranks 205th (2.4).
The Rams rank sixth in steals per game (9.1) while the Colonials rank 164th (5.8).
George Washington averages 13.5 assists per game, which ranks 146th in the nation. Fordham ranks 263rd in assists allowed per game (16.2).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Fordham is 1-4 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
George Washington is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Rams’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 17.6, up from 8.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Colonials have scored an average of 77.2 points per game (10.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 67.8 points per game (2.4 below their season average).
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