The Fresno State Bulldogs (15-7, 5-4 MWC) visit Nevada to play the Wolf Pack (18-4, 7-1 MWC) in a game that has the potential to be high-scoring. The game can be seen on CBS Sports Network at 11 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 31, 2018.
Nevada opened as an 8-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 147 points.
Fresno State Bulldogs at Nevada Wolf Pack Free Prediction
The Bulldogs are hoping for a better outcome after their 65-62 loss to the Utah State Aggies in their last contest. Utah State’s turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over Fresno State. The Aggies had a rate of 11.0 (better than their season average of 16.8), while the Bulldogs posted a mark of 20.7 (above their season average of 15.2). Fresno State’s Jaron Hopkins put together a good game, finishing with 11 points and 11 rebounds.
In the Wolf Pack’s last matchup, they lost a close one to the Wyoming Cowboys, 104-103. Wyoming’s offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over Nevada. The Cowboys had a rate of 21.1 (above their season average of 19.7), while the Wolf Pack posted a mark of 15.6 (below their season average of 27.7). With 27 points, seven rebounds and six assists, Nevada’s Cody Martin put together a good performance.
It might turn into a shootout as two of the nation’s best offenses go head-to-head. Nevada currently ranks 21st with 116.3 points per 100 possessions and Fresno State is 24th (115.1).
Fresno State has a solid 15-7 straight up (SU) record, but they are just 7-11 against the spread (ATS). Of the Bulldogs’ 18 games that accepted bets, 11 have finished over the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Nevada owns records of 18-4 SU and 10-10-1 ATS. Coinciding with Fresno State, Wolf Pack games also have a tendency to finish over the total (57.1 percent).
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. Caleb Martin had 18 points and 10 rebounds in the first game, in which the Wolf Pack defeated the Bulldogs 80-65, covering as 2-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 145 points, which was just 4 points below the projected point total of 149 points. The Wolf Pack had a much better turnover percentage (9.9 vs. 17.9) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.571 vs. 0.500).
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Nevada Wolf Pack Odds Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Nevada, ATS Winner – Fresno State, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Fresno State is 4-4 ATS with 7 overs and 1 under.
Nevada is 5-4 ATS at home with 5 overs and 4 unders.
Nevada ranks 100th in three pointers attempted per game (23.4) while Fresno State ranks 270th (17.3).
The Bulldogs rank eighth in rebounds allowed per game (30.0) while the Wolf Pack rank 152nd (35.2).
Nevada ranks 30th in assists per game (16.7) while Fresno State ranks 154th (13.5).
The Wolf Pack rank 54th in blocks per game (4.3) while the Bulldogs rank 91st in blocks allowed per game (3.3).
Nevada is 11th in the NCAA with 4.7 steals allowed per game while Fresno State is 23rd with 5.0 steals allowed per game.
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Fresno State is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Nevada is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Bulldogs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.0, down from 9.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Wolf Pack have scored an average of 83.4 points per game (0.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 71.6 points per game (1.2 above their season average).
