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Fresno State Bulldogs vs San Jose State Spartans NCAAF Preview and Pick

The MWC’s top rusher, Tyler Ervin (341 yards, 6 TDs), and the San Jose State Spartans play third-leading rusher, Marteze Waller (307 yards ) and the Fresno State Bulldogs. The Spartans and Bulldogs are both 1-2. The game starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, Sep 26 and will air on the CBSS.

San Jose State fell to Oregon State 35-21 last week. Billy Freeman had a good game in the loss, registering five receptions for 52 yards. Tyler Winston added 50 yards and a TD on five receptions. Fresno State fell short, getting dominated by Utah 45-24 in its matchup. Jamire Jordan had an outstanding performance for the Bulldogs, totaling three receptions for 102 yards and one TD.

San Jose State is a four-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is presently uavailable.

Heading into Week 4 of the college football season, the Spartans are 1-2 both Straight Up (SU) and Against The Spread (ATS). The Spartans may capitalize on a fragile Bulldogs pass defense that allows a 69.4% completion percentage. Transitioning to the San Jose State defense, there are a few things to keep in mind when it is on the field. The Spartans have the second-best pass defense in the nation and give up 73 yards per game through the air. San Jose State usually gets off to a quick start in games, averaging 11.3 points in the first quarter. San Jose State can top most teams in terms of time of possession. The Spartans have an average time of possession of 33:33 per game for 23rd-highest in the nation.

Across the field, the Bulldogs have a record of 1-2 both ATS and SU. Limiting the passing game shouldn’t be a difficult task for Fresno State. The Spartans have America’s 108th-ranked yards per pass at 10.5.

Predictions: SU Winner – Fresno State, ATS Winner – Fresno State

Notes

San Jose State is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Jose State’s last 9 games.

San Jose State is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose State’s last 6 games at home.

San Jose State is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games at home.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose State’s last 5 games when playing Fresno State.

San Jose State is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games when playing Fresno State.

San Jose State is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Fresno State.

Fresno State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against San Jose State.

Each team is 1-0 SU when leading after three quarters.

Per FBS ratings, San Jose State has an advantage in the passing game. Its offensive passing game (ranked 61st in the nation) will face the 95th-ranked pass defense of Fresno State, while its second-ranked pass defense will look to limit the 88th-ranked aerial attack of the Bulldogs.

According to overall FBS team rankings, Fresno State is rated higher in the ground game on both sides of the ball. Its 80th-ranked rushing attack will face the 127th-ranked run defense of San Jose State, while its 69th-ranked run defense will look to contain the 70th-ranked rushing game of the Spartans.

Written by GMS Previews

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