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Friday Afternoon Quarterback: Spread Picks and Locks

Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

Yep. I did it again. For the second time this season in a TNF game, I not only gave you the winner, but nailed the final score to the decimal. You know what that means, don’t you? Yep, I’m screwing up the rest of the picks. Let’s not waste any more time. Here’s your Friday Afternoon Quarterback for Week 11 of the NFL Season.

Carolina Panthers at Detroit Lions (+4.5, O/U: 49.5)

Of all the weeks to play a decent Panthers team, this is not it, Detroit. Matt Patricia needs to worry more about his job than than beat writers’ posture at this point. Panthers 34, Lions 20

Related: NFL Betting Guide | Week 11 Odds

Dallas Cowboys at Atlanta Falcons (-3, O/U: 48.5)

Every time Jason Garrett’s neck gets close to the guillotine, he manages to escape. If he gets his team past the Falcons, he just might replace his neck with Dan Quinn’s. Falcons 31, Cowboys 27

Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts (-1.5, O/U: 49.5)

If the Titans had a real head coach, there’s no question they’d win this key AFC South game after a dominating blow out victory over the New England Patriots. So I guess you know where I’m going. Colts 34, Titans 23

Houston Texans at Washington Redskins (+3, O/U: 42)

Bill O’Brien and Jay Gruden match wits in what has to be the NFL equivalent of that golf tee game you play while waiting for your food at Cracker Barrel. Redskins 27, Texans 24

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Giants (-2, O/U: 51.5)

Look at all this love Eli Manning and the Giants are getting after knocking off a 49ers team quarterbacked by a Subway sandwich artist. I’ll go along with it, but only because Dirk Koetter is coaching the other team. Giants 26, Buccaneers 24

Pittsburgh Steelers at Jacksonville Jaguars (+5, O/U: 46.5)

This week Jalen Ramsy tweeted “When I’m gone from here, y’all gone miss me” then followed that with a bunch of Bible verses. So everything is going great in Jacksonville. Steelers 38, Jaguars 20

Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers (-7, O/U: 46.5)

Am I trusting an Anthony Lynn coached team to cover a touchdown spread? Oh, God. This is happening. Somebody check on me tomorrow. I might be feverish. Chargers 27, Broncos 20

Oakland Raiders at Arizona Cardinals (-5, O/U: 40.5)

Yes, the Raiders are a garbage fire. Sure, Jon Gruden is proving week-in and week-out he should have never left the broadcast booth. Alright, the game is in Arizona and the Cardinals hung in there with the Chiefs for a while. Still, five points? I’m not that feverish. Cardinals 20, Raiders 19

Philadelphia Eagles at New Orleans Saints (-7.5, O/U: 56)

If the Eagles are making any serious defense of their Super Bowl title this year, they must win this game. But they won’t. Saints 33, Eagles 24

https://twitter.com/EaglesDude/status/1062058059776909313

Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears (-2.5, O/U: 44.5)

Neither of these teams have beaten a team with a winning record this season. I would say one of them will fix that Sunday night, but we’ve had a lot of ties this year. Bears 27, Vikings 24

Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Rams (-3,5, O/U: 63)

It’s not like there are tons of historic stats for sportsbetting, considering so much of it happened in the back room of barber shops and pawn emporiums for years, but as far as we can tell this might be the highest over-under in the history of the NFL and 63 isn’t even the highest. It’s been 64 at some houses. In Mexico City, this game was a coin flip, but I agree with the books. I like the Rams at home. Rams 38, Chiefs 34

This week

Straight up: 1-0

Against the spread: 1-0

Last week

Straight up: 8-6

Against the spread: 6-8

Season

Straight up: 84-62-2

Against the spread: 74-74

Written by Adam Greene

Adam Greene is a writer and photographer based out of East Tennessee. His work has appeared on Cracked.com, in USA Today, the Associated Press, the Chicago Cubs Vineline Magazine, AskMen.com and many other publications.

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