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George Mason Patriots – Fordham Rams Preview – 01.20.2016

Atlantic 10 foes will lock horns when the Fordham Rams (10-6) face the George Mason Patriots (7-11) at Rose Hill Gym. Action begins at 7:00 pm ET on Wednesday, Jan. 20.

The Rams are hoping to rebound after their 80-55 loss to Saint Joseph’s on Saturday. Christian Sengfelder was the team’s leading scorer with 13 points. The Patriots, meanwhile, are coming off a 92-79 win against Saint Louis on Sunday. Marquise Moore claimed his second double-double of the season with 22 points and 10 rebounds.

This one might be a mistake-prone game for the George Mason offense, which ranks 264th in the nation in miscues (TO% of 19.9%). It’s matched up against the disruptive Fordham defense, which causes the eighth-most turnovers in the nation (24.3%).

Fordham is a four-point favorite against George Mason and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at 135 points. While the Rams have a good Straight Up (SU) record (10-6), they’ve been poor Against The Spread (ATS) with a 3-6 record. Over their last 10 games, they have only managed a record of 1-5 ATS. Fordham’s three-point defense can be considered one of the best in the nation, allowing just 6.0 three-pointers per game.

As for their opponent, the Patriots have records of 7-8 ATS and 7-11 SU. The Patriots have controlled the glass with an average of 41.1 rebounds per game, 30th in the country.

The conference foes will be squaring off for the first time this season. In their most recent meeting a season ago, George Mason came out on top, bumping its SU record to 4-0 over the Patriots. Furthermore, Fordham holds the advantage ATS with a record of 4-0.

Predictions: SU Winner – Ford, ATS Winner – Ford, O/U – Over

Notes

Fordham is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Fordham’s last 6 games.

Fordham is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.

Fordham is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home.

Both Fordham and George Mason are a poor 1-4 SU against conference foes.

George Mason scores just 64.2 points per away game (ranked 278th). Fordham ranks 76th in points allowed at home, giving up 63.5 points.

The Fordham Rams have a defensive rating of 95.7 (ranked 42nd), while the George Mason Patriots have an offensive rating of 98.1 (ranked 293rd).

Fordham has an average field goal percentage of 46.3%. George Mason is a losing 1-2 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.

The Fordham Rams rank lower for their field goal percentage (75th) than they do for their effective field goal percentage (61st), but the George Mason Patriots have a better FG% ranking (275th) than eFG% ranking (305th).

Fordham ranks 35th in assists, registering 16.5 per game. George Mason performs worse at 342nd with 10.3 assists per game.

George Mason, the 30th-ranked team in rebounding, registers an average of 41.1 rebounds per game. Fordham does worse, ranked 227th with 35.8.

The George Mason Patriots rank 98th in offensive rebounds. The Fordham Rams rank 243rd in the nation in defensive rebounds.

The Fordham defense has forced an average TO% of 24.3% this season (ranked eighth). In games where it gives up a TO% of 24% or greater, George Mason has a losing 1-2 record.

Written by GMS Previews

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