The Georgia Southern Eagles (-12) and New Mexico State Aggies are ready to collide on the turf at Aggie Memorial Stadium. Kickoff for this game is scheduled for 6:00 p.m. ET.
Georgia Southern Eagles at New Mexico State Aggies Betting Preview
New Mexico State is a live dog and is currently getting 12 points in this game. In order to take the favorite, moneyline bettors would currently have to spend $500 to net $100 back on the Eagles (-500). The Aggies are getting +350 moneyline odds. If one school can find paydirt early it would generate a decent betting opportunity in-game. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 53.5 points.
The total has yet to change after it was set initially at 53.5. Having said that, the line opened at 13 so the early action has swayed in favor of the Aggies.
The profitable Eagles are 5-1 against the spread (ATS) and have recorded 4.3 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have recorded an O/U mark of 1-4. The Aggies have lost 0.7 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-5 ATS and five of their games have gone over the total.
The Eagles are 5-1 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Aggies are 2-5 SU.
When these two squads faced each other last year, New Mexico State emerged victorious by a score of 35-27.
The Eagles hope to keep it rolling after a 15-13 win over Texas State last week. Shai Werts completed seven-of-12 passes for just 51 yards. Wesley Fields (93 yards on 26 rush attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Werts (18 yards on 13 carries) led the ground attack. Colby Ransom (one receptions, 14 yards) and Mark Michaud (one catch, nine yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.
New Mexico State just fell 66-38 to Louisiana. Josh Adkins completed 25-of-44 passes for 284 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Christian Gibson (47 yards on 10 rush attempts, three TDs) and Jason Huntley (85 yards on eight carries) handled the running game while Huntley (five receptions, 112 yards, one TD) and Johnathan Boone (five catches, 90 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.
Georgia Southern has run the ball on 86.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New Mexico State has a rush percentage of 41.9 percent. The Eagles have produced 257 rush yards/game and have 16 scores on the ground this year. The Aggies are totaling 101 rushing yards per game and have seven total rush TDs.
It seems like the Eagles ought to hold an edge in all aspects of the ground game, as their backfield has generated 5.2 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 4.0 YPC to opponents. The Aggies have recorded 3.5 yards per carry and given up 4.8 yards per rush attempt to opponents.
The Eagles offense has tallied 76 yards/game through the air overall and has four passing scores so far. The Aggies have put up 234 pass yards per contest and have 10 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Georgia Southern should have the upper hand in both facets. The team has let opponents run for an average of 148 yards and pass for 207 yards per game. The New Mexico State D has allowed 233.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 256.7 yards per game on the ground. The Eagles are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.56 to opposing QBs, while the Aggies have given up a 6.85 ANY/A.
Offensively, Werts has put up 315 passing yards this season, and has connected on 54 percent of his 39 attempts with three scores through the air and has yet to throw an interception. He has a 7.00 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.09 over the last two games.
Josh Adkins has managed to complete 48-of-86 passes for 618 yards, three TDs and three INTs for New Mexico State. His ANY/A sits at 5.22 for the season and 7.00 over his past two outings.
RELATED: Week 8 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
NCAA Prediction: Georgia Southern Eagles at New Mexico State Aggies
SU Winner – Georgia Southern, ATS Winner – Georgia Southern, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Over/Under for Georgia Southern’s last game was 51.5. The under cashed in the team’s 15-13 victory over Texas State.
Georgia Southern has produced 5.6 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.8 over its last two.
New Mexico State has averaged 5.2 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.6 over its last two.
The New Mexico State offense has lost four fumbles this season while Georgia Southern has lost three.
Over its last three games, Georgia Southern is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for New Mexico State’s last outing was 66. The over cashed in the team’s 66-38 defeat to Louisiana.
Over its last three matches, New Mexico State is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The Eagles offense has produced four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Aggies have accounted for five such plays.
The Georgia Southern defense has allowed one pass play of 40 yards or more, while New Mexico State has given up four such plays.
The Georgia Southern offense has created 14 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while New Mexico State has created seven such runs.
The Eagles defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Aggies have given up 17 such runs.
The New Mexico State defense has recorded 21 sacks on the year while Georgia Southern has just 15.
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