The Georgia State Panthers (2-6, 1-3) will travel to take on the Texas State Bobcats (2-6, 1-3) this week in a contest between a pair of struggling SBC teams. The SBC’s top passer, Nick Arbuckle (2,664 yards, 16 TDs), is a player to watch in this matchup. It kicks off Saturday, Nov 14 at 4:00 p.m. ET and will be shown on ESP3 and TWCN.
In last week’s game, Texas State was defeated by New Mexico State 31-21. C.J. Best had a solid performance in the loss, registering six receptions for 74 yards. Tyler Jones also had a great game with 287 yards and a TD through the air. Georgia State also came up short, losing a game they could have won against Louisiana-Lafayette 23-21. Keith Rucker had a great game for the Panthers, recording six catches for 51 yards and two TDs. Nick Arbuckle also had a big day, contributing 313 yards and three TDs through the air.
Texas State is a five-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 65 points.
Heading into Week 11 of the college football season, the Bobcats are 2-6 for both Straight Up (SU) and Against The Spread (ATS). In their five most recent matchups, the Bobcats went 1-4 for both SU and ATS. Look for Texas State to take advantage of an inferior run defense. The Panthers are 103rd in the country against the run, giving up 203 rushing yards per game. Turning to the Bobcats defense, a few key spots could be deciding factors this week. The Panthers will be matching up against a stout Texas State pass defense, which only allowed 217.0 passing yards over their last five matchups. If the Bobcats want to win this game, they could try to strip Georgia State’s players of the football. The Panthers are one of the worst teams when it comes to fumbles lost with 1.1 per game. Keep an eye on Texas State to turn it up a notch during the second quarter, when it averages 12.4 points per game.
On the other side, the Panthers head into Week 11 with records of 4-4 ATS and 2-6 SU. Over their last five games, the Panthers have a SU record of 1-4 and a 2-3 record ATS for those betting with them. If earlier games are any indication, the Panthers will throw the ball a lot. They average 332.9 passing yards per game, good enough for 13th in Division I. Shifting to the other side of the ball, the Georgia State defense can dominate if it takes advantage of some favorable matchups. The Bobcats are matching up with Georgia State’s defense at an inopportune time. Over the last five games, Georgia State’s opponents have only averaged 226.8 yards through the air.
Predictions: SU Winner – Texas State, ATS Winner – Texas State, O/U – Over
Notes
Texas State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
Texas State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
Georgia State is 2-2 SU when leading at the start of the 4th quarter this season. Texas State is 2-0 SU when leading after three quarters.
Texas State is 1-3 SU in games where it wins the turnover battle, and winless (0-2 SU) when losing the turnover battle.
Nationally, the Texas State passing attack is ranked 70th, while the Georgia State pass defense is only ranked 97th. The Panthers passing game is ranked 13th, compared to the 104th-ranked pass defense of the Bobcats.
