The Detroit Pistons (12-7) look to extend their five-game home winning streak when they take on the Golden State Warriors (15-8), who will try to snap their five-game road losing streak. The game can be seen on NBC Sports – Bay Area at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 1, 2018.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 228 points with Golden State opening as a 4.5-point favorite.
Golden State Warriors at Detroit Pistons Free Prediction
In the Warriors’ last matchup, they were beaten by the Toronto Raptors, 131-128, but they did cover as 9.5-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (259) finished well over the projected point total of 223. Converting at the free throw line was one of Toronto’s largest advantages. They were 22-24 (91.7 percent), while the Warriors were 17-20 (85.0 percent). Kevin Durant was the top scorer from either team with 51 points on 18-for-31 shooting.
The Pistons won big over the Chicago Bulls in their last matchup, 107-88, comfortably covering as 7.5-point favorites. The total points for the game (195) finished well under the projected point total of 220.5. The Pistons held the Bulls to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.2 (below the 20.4 mark opponents have averaged against Detroit this season) and had a better turnover percentage (11.6 vs. 14.0). With 19 points and 20 rebounds, Detroit’s Andre Drummond had a solid outing.
It will be a battle of contrasting styles as the up-tempo Pistons will look to push the slower-paced Warriors. The Pistons currently rank ninth in possessions per game while the Warriors are 19th.
Golden State is 15-8 straight up (SU), but they have trouble covering the spread (10-13 against the spread (ATS)). Of the Warriors’ 23 games, 13 have gone over the total.
Meanwhile, Detroit is 12-7 SU and 10-8 ATS. Pistons games also tend to go over the total (61.1 percent).
Durant and Klay Thompson have been playing well over the last five games for Golden State. Durant has averaged 36 points,10.4 rebounds,6.4 assists,2.2 blocks,1.2 steals per game. Not to be outdone, Thompson has recorded 29 points a game during that span.
After splitting two games last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. The Warriors won the most recent contest 102-98. Golden State did a fantastic job of converting from the free throw line (17-22; 77.3 percent). Detroit, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (27.3 vs. 12.8).
Warriors at Pistons ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Golden State is 3-7 ATS on the road with 7 overs and 3 unders.
Detroit is 4-6 ATS at home with 6 overs and 4 unders.
In games where they allow less than 100 points, Golden State and Detroit are both 2-0.
The Pistons are 12-5 when they reach 100 points, while the Warriors are 15-4.
Golden State ranks third in blocks per game (6.3) while Detroit ranks 29th (3.9).
The Warriors rank first in assists per game (27.8) while the Pistons rank 26th (21.6).
Detroit ranks ninth in points in the paint per game (49.6) while Golden State ranks 29th (40.3).
The Pistons rank fifth in second chance points per game (15.4) while the Warriors rank 25th (12.2).
Detroit ranks fifth in three pointers allowed per game (28.6) while Golden State ranks 24th (34.1).
The Pistons rank 3 in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.894736842105264) while the Warriors rank 20 (17.782608695652176).
Golden State ranks 5 in fast break points per game (16.82608695652174) while Detroit ranks 21 (11.052631578947368).
The Pistons rank 5 in steals allowed per game (7.052631578947368) while the Warriors rank 20 (8.08695652173913).
Golden State ranks 5 in rebounds allowed per game (42.26086956521739) while Detroit ranks 13 (44.421052631578945).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five games, Golden State is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Detroit is 4-1 ATS with 5 overs over its last five games.
The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.8, down from 5.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 116.0 points per game (4.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.0 points per game (1.5 below their season average).
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