The Golden State Warriors (20-6) will try to prolong their five-game winning streak against the Detroit Pistons (14-10) at Little Caesars Arena. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, December 8, 2017, and will air on ESPN.
Golden State Warriors vs. Detroit Pistons Betting Prediction
The Warriors come in on a high note after beating the Charlotte Hornets in their last game, 101-87. Golden State held the Hornets to an effective field goal percentage of 0.381 (below their season average of 0.495). Charlotte, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (26.4 vs. 18.6). Golden State received a boost from Kevin Durant, who put up 35 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists. This gave him his zeroth triple-double of the season.
In the Pistons’ last game, they were beaten by the Milwaukee Bucks, 104-100. Milwaukee’s effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Detroit. The Bucks had a rate of 0.544 (above their season average of 0.534), while the Pistons posted a mark of 0.471 (below their season average of 0.523). With 27 points on 12-for-16 shooting, Andre Drummond was the top scorer from either team.
It will be a matchup of conflicting paces as the up-tempo Warriors will look to push the slower-paced Pistons. The Warriors currently rank fifth in possessions per game while the Pistons are 23rd.
Golden State heads into the contest with records of 20-6 straight up (SU) and 13-13 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has a tendency to set the total low when the Warriors are involved, as 15 of their 26 games have gone over the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Detroit owns records of 14-10 SU and 15-7-2 ATS. Unlike Golden State, a little over half of Pistons games have finished under the O/U total.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. Durant put up 28 points and six rebounds in the first matchup, in which the Warriors lost 115-107, unable to cover as 14.5-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 222 points, which was just 1 points above the projected point total of 221 points. The Pistons had a much better turnover percentage (11.5 vs. 23.3) and had a better free throw rate (0.183 vs. 0.117).
Golden State Warriors vs. Detroit Pistons Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Pistons, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Golden State is 8-7 ATS on the road with 9 overs and 6 unders.
At home, Detroit is 6-3-1 ATS with 6 overs and 4 unders.
Golden State is 6-1 when they allow below 100 points, while Detroit is 7-3.
The Pistons are 12-4 when they score more than 100 points, while the Warriors are 19-4.
Golden State ranks first in blocks per game (8.4) while Detroit ranks 29th (3.3).
The Pistons rank fourth in fast break points allowed per game (8.8) while the Warriors rank 28th (14.0).
Golden State ranks first in assists per game (30.9) while Detroit ranks 24th in assists allowed per game (24.3).
The Pistons rank eighth in steals allowed per game (7.4) while the Warriors rank 26th (8.8).
Detroit ranks fifth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.0) while Golden State ranks 23rd (18.5).
The Pistons rank ninth in second chance points per game (13.5) while the Warriors rank 27th (10.0).
Detroit ranks 13th in points in the paint per game (44.2) while Golden State ranks 21st in points allowed in the paint per game (46.2).
The Warriors average 44.9 rebounds per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. The Pistons rank 11th in rebounds allowed per game (42.6).
Golden State averages 31.4 three pointers per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. Detroit ranks ninth in three pointers allowed per game (26.8).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Golden State is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Detroit is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 unders, 1 over and 1 push over their last five games.
The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 15.4, up from 11.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 103.6 points per game (0.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 104.8 points per game (2.1 above their season average).
