The Golden State Warriors (37-9) visit Houston to play the Rockets (31-12) in what should be a high-scoring game. The game starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 20, 2018.
Golden State opened as a 4.5-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 234 points.
Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets ATS Prediction
The last time the Warriors played, they defeated the Chicago Bulls, 119-112. Golden State was successful at getting and making free throws. The Warriors made 22 of their 25 free throws (88.0 percent), while the Bulls were 12-13 (92.3 percent). With 38 points on 12-for-22 shooting, Klay Thompson was the game’s leading scorer.
The Rockets easily got past the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last contest, 116-98. The Rockets held the Timberwolves to an offensive rebounding percentage of 19.0 (below their season average of 25.0) and had a turnover percentage of 8.6 (better than their season average of 13.0). Eric Gordon was the top scorer from either team with 30 points on 11-for-19 shooting.
It might turn into a shootout as a pair of the NBA’s best offenses battle. Houston ranks second with 113.2 points per 100 possessions and Golden State is first (114.0). Also, the Warriors rank 21st in offensive rebounding percentage (21.5 percent), while the Rockets rank first in defensive rebounding percentage (81.4 percent).
Golden State holds records of 37-9 straight up (SU) and 21-24-1 against the spread (ATS). Just over half of the Warriors’ games have finished over the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Houston is 31-12 SU and 21-21-1 ATS. Rockets games have a slight tendency to finish over the projected point total (48.8 percent).
Chris Paul and Gordon have played at a high level over the last five games for Houston. Paul has averaged 24.2 points, 9.2 assists, 7.2 rebounds and 1.4 steals per game. Not to be outdone, Gordon has put up 20.4 points and 5.2 assists a game during that span.
Both teams have won a game in the season series. The Warriors won the most recent matchup 124-114, covering as 4-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 238 points, which was 7 points above the projected point total of 231 points. The Warriors had a better offensive rebounding percentage (15.8 vs. 13.3) and had a better free throw rate (0.172 vs. 0.146). Despite the loss, Gordon was the game’s leading scorer with 30 points.
Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets ATS Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Rockets, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Golden State is 12-12 ATS with 14 overs and 10 unders.
At home, Houston is 9-12-1 ATS with 14 overs and 8 unders.
When holding opponents below 100 points, Houston is 14-2 and Golden State is 11-2.
The Rockets are 31-9 when they reach the century mark, while the Warriors are 34-6.
Houston ranks fourth in steals per game (8.9) while Golden State ranks 28th in steals allowed per game (8.7).
The Warriors rank first in fast break points per game (20.9) while the Rockets rank 22nd in fast break points allowed per game (12.8).
Houston ranks fifth in points off turnovers per game (18.1) while Golden State ranks 25th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.7).
The Warriors rank first in blocks per game (7.9) while the Rockets rank 17th in blocks allowed per game (5.0).
Houston ranks first in three pointers attempted per game (43.5) while Golden State ranks 17th in three pointers allowed per game (29.1).
The Warriors average 44.9 points in the paint per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. The Rockets rank 28th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.0).
Houston ranks 12th in second chance points allowed per game (11.7) while Golden State ranks 27th (13.6).
The Warriors rank first in assists per game (30.5) while the Rockets rank 15th (22.5).
Houston ranks second in rebounds allowed per game (41.1) while Golden State ranks eighth (42.2).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Golden State is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Houston is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.8, down from 9.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Rockets have scored an average of 113.4 points per game (1.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 105.0 points per game (1.9 below their season average).
