The San Antonio Spurs (0-3) will attempt to extend the series when they meet the Golden State Warriors (3-0) at AT&T Center in game four of the First Round of the Western Conference Playoffs. The game will air on ABC at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 22, 2018.
Golden State is a 6.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 203.5 points.
Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs Betting Prediction
In game three, Durant scored a game-high 26 points and the Warriors beat the Spurs 110-97, covering as 3-point favorites. He also put up nine rebounds and six assists. The game finished with a total of 207 points, which was just 1.5 points above the projected point total of 205.5 points. Golden State’s 0.573 effective field goal percentage was its largest strength over San Antonio, who had a mark of 0.466.
San Antonio could put on a ball-control clinic in this matchup. San Antonio ranks fifth in the league at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 13.0 percent), while Golden State forces the seventh-fewest turnovers (13.1 percent). Also, the Warriors rank first in offensive efficiency (112.9), while the Spurs rank fourth in defensive efficiency (103.5).
Golden State has a phenomenal 61-24 straight up (SU) record, but they have difficulty covering the spread (36-46-3 against the spread (ATS)). Games featuring the Warriors have finished over the total 50.6 percent of the time.
Meanwhile, San Antonio owns records of 47-38 SU and 41-40-4 ATS. Unlike Golden State, games involving the Spurs have finished under the O/U total 50.6 percent of the time.
Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs ATS Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Golden State is 19-22-1 ATS with 22 overs and 20 unders.
At home, San Antonio is 26-15-1 ATS with 21 overs and 21 unders.
When allowing less than 100 points, San Antonio is 32-10 and Golden State is 17-5.
In games where they score above 100 points, the Warriors are 58-15 and the Spurs are 36-15.
Golden State ranks first in fast break points per game (19.1) while San Antonio ranks 23rd (10.3).
The Spurs rank seventh in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.0) while the Warriors rank 28th (18.5).
San Antonio ranks ninth in second chance points per game (13.1) while Golden State ranks last (10.3).
The Warriors rank first in assists per game (29.3) while the Spurs rank 19th (22.6).
San Antonio ranks 12th in steals allowed per game (7.5) while Golden State ranks 29th (8.8).
The Warriors rank 17th in three pointers attempted per game (28.9) while the Spurs rank 27th (24.2).
Both of these teams are great at blocking the ball. Golden State leads the NBA with 7.4 blocks per game while San Antonio is fourth with 5.5 blocks per game.
The Spurs rank 19th in points in the paint per game (43.6) while the Warriors rank 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game (47.1).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Golden State is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs, 1 under and 1 push.
San Antonio is 0-5 ATS with 3 overs, 1 under and 1 push over their last five games.
The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.2, down from 6.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 97.2 points per game (5.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 109.2 points per game (8.9 above their season average).
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