The Golden State Warriors (34-9) head to Toronto to take on the Raptors (29-11) in a matchup that pits outstanding offense against tremendous defense. The game will air on The Sports Network at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 13, 2018.
Golden State Warriors at Toronto Raptors ATS Prediction
In the Warriors’ last game, they beat the Milwaukee Bucks, 108-94. The Warriors knocked down 15 of their 18 free throws (83.3 percent) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 27.8 (above their season average of 21.6). Draymond Green played a pivotal role for Golden State with 21 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists.
The Raptors easily got past the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last contest, 133-99. The Raptors, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 22.5, had an absurd mark of 40.9 and held the Cavaliers to an effective field goal percentage of 0.416 (below their season average of 0.550). With 15 points and 18 rebounds, Toronto’s Jonas Valanciunas played well.
This matchup pits one of the league’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Toronto currently ranks third in offensive efficiency and Golden State ranks fourth in defensive efficiency.
Golden State comes into the contest with records of 34-9 straight up (SU) and 19-22-1 against the spread (ATS). Games featuring the Warriors tend to go over the O/U total (57.1 percent).
Meanwhile, Toronto is 29-11 SU and 23-17 ATS. Games featuring the Raptors have finished over the total 52.5 percent of the time.
Green has averaged 14.8 points, 10.4 rebounds and 7.4 assists over the last five games for Golden State.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. Stephen Curry scored a game-high 30 points in the first game, in which the Warriors beat the Raptors 117-112 but were not able to cover as 12.5-point favorites. He also put up five assists. The game finished with a total of 229 points, which was just 1 points below the projected point total of 230 points. Golden State did a terrific job of making free throws (19-22; 86.4 percent). Toronto, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (35.4 vs. 19.4).
Golden State Warriors at Toronto Raptors ATS Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Golden State is 10-10 ATS on the road with 13 overs and 7 unders.
At home, Toronto is 10-7 ATS with 9 overs and 8 unders.
When holding opponents under 100 points, Golden State is 11-2 and Toronto is 12-4.
The Warriors are 31-6 when they reach the century mark, while the Raptors are 28-5.
Toronto averages 19.4 points off turnovers per game, which ranks first in the league. Golden State ranks 26th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.6).
The Raptors average 8.6 steals per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. The Warriors rank 28th in steals allowed per game (8.8).
Golden State averages 21.3 fast break points per game, which ranks first in the NBA. Toronto ranks 21st in fast break points allowed per game (12.4).
The Warriors average 8.2 blocks per game, which ranks first in the league. The Raptors rank 20th in blocks allowed per game (5.0).
Toronto ranks fourth in points in the paint per game (48.6) while Golden State ranks 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game (46.1).
The Raptors rank third in three pointers allowed per game (25.9) while the Warriors rank 16th (29.0).
Golden State ranks first in assists per game (30.6) while Toronto ranks 12th (22.9).
The Raptors average 11.9 second chance points per game, which ranks 19th in the league. The Warriors rank 26th in second chance points allowed per game (13.7).
Golden State ranks seventh in rebounds per game (44.7) while Toronto ranks 11th in rebounds allowed per game (42.3).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Golden State is 2-2-1 ATS with 5 overs.
Toronto is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over their last five games.
The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.2, down from 9.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 117.8 points per game (5.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 105.4 points per game (1.7 above their season average).
