The Utah Jazz (21-28) will try to slow down the league’s top scoring team when they take on the Golden State Warriors (40-10) at Vivint Smart Home Arena. The game is scheduled to begin at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 30, 2018.
Golden State is a 7-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 217.5 points.
Golden State Warriors vs. Utah Jazz ATS Prediction
The last time the Warriors played, they topped the Boston Celtics, 109-105. Golden State made good use of their 26 trips to the free throw line, making 23 of them (88.5 percent). Boston, on the other hand, was 17-24 (70.8 percent). Golden State was led by Stephen Curry, who was the game’s leading scorer with 49 points on 16-for-24 shooting.
The Jazz defeated the Toronto Raptors in their last matchup, 97-93. Utah’s 0.172 free throw rate was their largest advantage over Toronto, who had a rate of 0.126. The Jazz’s mark matched their season average, while the Raptors’ was below their season average of 0.210. With 18 points and 15 rebounds, Utah’s Rudy Gobert played well.
The ineffective offense of Utah (21st in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 104.4) will clash against the stingy defense of Golden State (fifth in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 104.1). The Warriors figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball. It could also be a sloppy game for the offense of the Warriors, which ranks 25th in ball security (turnover percentage of 14.9 percent). They’ll be going up against the top-notch defense of the Jazz, which forces the fourth-most turnovers in the NBA (15.5 percent).
Golden State is 40-10 straight up (SU), but they have a difficult time covering the spread (21-27-2 against the spread (ATS)). Just over half of the Warriors’ games have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, Utah is 21-28 SU and 25-24 ATS. Unlike Golden State, a little over half of Jazz games have finished under the total.
Gobert has averaged 12.0 points, 8.0 rebounds and 2.6 blocks over the last five games for Utah.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Kevin Durant recorded 21 points and six rebounds and the Warriors beat the Jazz 126-101, covering as 11-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 227 points, which was 23.5 points above the projected point total of 203.5 points. Golden State’s effective field goal percentage was its largest strength over Utah. The Warriors had a rate of 0.657 while the Jazz posted a mark of 0.435.
Golden State Warriors at Utah Jazz Betting Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Golden State is 12-13 ATS with 14 overs and 11 unders.
Utah is 14-9 ATS at home with 14 unders and 9 overs.
Utah is 12-4 when they allow under 100 points, while Golden State is 11-2.
The Warriors are 37-7 when they reach 100 points, while the Jazz are 17-11.
Utah ranks second in steals per game (9.1) while Golden State ranks 28th in steals allowed per game (8.7).
The Jazz rank third in fast break points allowed per game (9.4) while the Warriors rank 28th (13.8).
Golden State ranks first in assists per game (30.6) while Utah ranks 24th (21.0).
The Jazz rank fifth in second chance points allowed per game (11.1) while the Warriors rank 27th (13.5).
Utah ranks ninth in points allowed in the paint per game (42.4) while Golden State ranks 26th (47.0).
The Jazz rank 12th in points off turnovers per game (17.2) while the Warriors rank 26th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.3).
Golden State ranks first in blocks per game (7.9) while Utah ranks 14th (4.8).
The Warriors rank 12th in rebounds per game (44.2) while the Jazz rank 25th (41.2).
Utah averages 29.7 three pointers per game, which ranks 10th in the league. Golden State ranks 14th in three pointers allowed per game (28.9).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Golden State is 0-4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Utah is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.4, down from 8.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 105.0 points per game (3.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 104.4 points per game (2.2 above their season average).
