The Orlando Magic (9-13) will try to slow down the league’s top scoring team when they challenge the Golden State Warriors (16-6) at Amway Center. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, December 1, 2017, and will air on Fox SportsNet Florida.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 228.5 points with Golden State set as an 11-point favorite.
Golden State Warriors at Orlando Magic Betting Prediction
The Warriors come in on a high note after topping the Los Angeles Lakers in their last game, 127-123. The Warriors had a solid offensive rebounding percentage of 30.8 (above their season average of 21.7) and had a free throw rate of 0.223 (above their season average of 0.198). Draymond Green was a key piece for Golden State with 15 points, 11 rebounds and nine assists.
In the Magic’s last matchup, they were victorious over the Oklahoma City Thunder, 121-108. Orlando’s effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Oklahoma City. The Magic had a rate of 0.678 (above their season average of 0.531), while the Thunder posted a mark of 0.458 (below the 0.521 mark opponents have averaged against Orlando this season). Aaron Gordon was the game’s leading scorer with 40 points on 13-for-23 shooting.
Golden State could dominate on the offensive side of the ball as their prolific offense goes up against one of the worst defenses in the league. The Warriors currently rank first in offensive efficiency while Orlando ranks 24th in defensive efficiency.
Golden State is 16-6 straight up (SU), but they have difficulty covering the spread (9-13 against the spread (ATS)). Games featuring the Warriors tend to finish over the total (59.1 percent).
Meanwhile, Orlando owns records of 9-13 SU and 10-11-1 ATS. Of the Magic’s 22 games, 12 have finished over the total.
Gordon and Elfrid Payton have been playing well over the last five games for Orlando. Gordon has averaged 16.4 points, 8.6 rebounds and 1.4 blocks per game. Not to be outdone, Payton has recorded 12.4 points, 7.4 assists and 1.4 steals a game during that span.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, the Magic lost 110-100 but covered as 12.5-point underdogs. Nikola Vucevic recorded 20 points and five rebounds. The game finished with a total of 210 points, which was 13.5 points below the projected point total of 223.5 points. Golden State out-rebounded Orlando. The Warriors had 12 offensive rebounds and 50 total rebounds, while the Magic had four and 35, respectively.
Golden State Warriors vs. Orlando Magic Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Magic, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Golden State is 4-7 ATS with 7 overs and 4 unders.
At home, Orlando is 4-5 ATS with 5 unders and 4 overs.
Orlando is 5-1 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Golden State is 4-1.
When reaching the century mark, the Warriors are 15-4 and the Magic are 9-8.
Golden State averages 30.1 assists per game, which ranks first in the NBA. Orlando ranks 25th in assists allowed per game (24.6).
The Warriors average 23.0 fast break points per game, which ranks first in the league. The Magic rank 22nd in fast break points allowed per game (12.0).
Golden State averages 45.4 rebounds per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. Orlando ranks 27th in rebounds allowed per game (46.6).
The Warriors rank 14th in points in the paint per game (44.3) while the Magic rank 27th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.7).
Golden State ranks first in blocks per game (8.5) while Orlando ranks 13th in blocks allowed per game (4.6).
The Warriors rank sixth in steals per game (8.9) while the Magic rank 17th in steals allowed per game (8.3).
Orlando ranks 16th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.5) while Golden State ranks 25th (19.0).
The Warriors average 10.4 second chance points per game, which ranks 22nd in the NBA. The Magic rank last in second chance points allowed per game (14.5).
Orlando ranks 11th in three pointers attempted per game (30.6) while Golden State ranks 18th in three pointers allowed per game (29.6).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Golden State is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Orlando is 2-3 ATS with 5 overs over their last five games.
The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.4, down from 10.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Magic have scored an average of 112.4 points per game (4.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 120.2 points per game (9.3 above their season average).
