The Golden State Warriors (71-9) travel to San Antonio to take on the Spurs (65-14) in a matchup that pits the first-ranked offense against the first-ranked defense. The game starts at 7:00 pm ET on Sunday, Apr. 10 and will air on NBA and FSW.
The Spurs were beaten by the Nuggets 102-98 on Friday. David West played well for San Antonio, finishing with 17 points, seven rebounds, and five blocks. The Warriors, meanwhile, are coming off a 100-99 win over the Grizzlies on Saturday. Draymond Green had a good game and claimed his 33rd double-double of the season, accumulating 23 points and 11 rebounds.
Green has been on fire over the last five games for the Warriors, averaging 18.2 points, 8.4 rebounds, 7.4 assists, 2.6 steals, 2.0 blocks, and 1.4 three-pointers.
The game should be a battle of strength against strength, as the high-powered offense of San Antonio (third in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 109.3) takes on the stingy defense of Golden State (fifth in the league with a defensive efficiency of 101.7). Also, the Warriors’s first-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 112.8) will face off against the first-ranked defense of the Spurs (defensive efficiency of 97.0).
The Warriors have won two out of three against the Spurs this season, including a 112-101 victory in their last matchup. Stephen Curry scored a game-high 27 points.
The Spurs enter the game with records of 65-14 Straight Up (SU) and 43-36 Against The Spread (ATS). They have a record of 65-14 SU and 43-36 ATS versus the Western Conference. San Antonio has averaged 113.5 points per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 103.9. San Antonio has been steady from the free throw line, shooting a league-high .804. San Antonio has the third-most assists in the NBA, averaging 24.7 per game. The Spurs will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent defensive struggles. The Spurs have given up an average of 105.7 points to opponents in their last 10 games, well over their defense’s season average of 92.9 PPG.
On the other side, Golden State has a SU record of 71-9 and an ATS record of 41-36-3. Golden State has been particularly bad ATS over its past 10 matchups, going 2-8. During the last 10 games, they averaged 99.2 PPG, below their 115.0 PPG season average. The Warriors rarely make costly errors handling the ball. They have the second-best assist-to-turnover ratio in the league at 1.95. The last 10 games have really brought the best of the Warriors on the defensive end. They’ve allowed 96.8 points per game during that span, which is lower than their season average of 104.4.
With the Warriors’ last win against San Antonio, Golden State is still behind in the head-to-head record over the past 10 meetings, 3-7 SU. The Spurs also hold the advantage ATS with a record of 6-4.
Predictions: SU Winner – GS
Notes
“San Antonio is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games “.
“San Antonio is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games “.
“The total has gone UNDER in 15 of San Antonio’s last 23 games “.
“San Antonio is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home”.
“San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home”.
“The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio’s last 6 games at home”.
“San Antonio is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Golden State”.
“San Antonio is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Golden State”.
“The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio’s last 5 games when playing Golden State”.
“San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State”.
“San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State”.
“The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio’s last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State”.
San Antonio has allowed an average of just 92.9 points per game, best in the league. However, Golden State averages 115.0 points per game, placing the team at the top of the NBA in scoring.
San Antonio allows 91.0 points per home game on average (ranked betdsi.ht.home_def_score_rank, :ord}). However, Golden State averages 114.0 points per road game, placing the team at the top of the NBA in away game scoring.
When allowing fewer than 100 points, the Spurs are 54-5 on the season. When the Warriors score fewer than 100, they are a subpar 1-5.
San Antonio is 11-9 when allowing 100 or more points this season. The Warriors have a tremendous 70-4 record when they hit the century mark.
The Spurs have the third-best offensive rating in the NBA (109.3). The Warriors are also in the top half of the league based on their defensive rating of 101.7 (ranked fifth).
With 95.0 possessions and 1.093 points per possession, the San Antonio Spurs perform worse on both metrics than the Golden State Warriors. Golden State averages 102.0 possessions and 1.128 points per possession.
The San Antonio Spurs have one of the best effective field goal percentages this season, ranking second in the league with an EFF% of 52.9%. The Golden State Warriors have a stellar 11-3 record in games where opponents have a similar or higher EFF%.
On average, San Antonio attempts 18.0 three pointers and Golden State attempts 31.0 per game. In games where the teams have 25 or more three point attempts, the Spurs have a 1-2 record while the Warriors have an outstanding 65-8 record.
San Antonio has the best assist to turnover ratio in the NBA this season with 1.97. Golden State ranks slightly lower, at second, with an A/TO of 1.95.
With 46.1 per game, Golden State ranks near the top of the NBA for rebounds at fourth. San Antonio ranks 15th with 43.8.
The Golden State Warriors rank 21st in offensive rebounding, while the San Antonio Spurs rank fifth in defensive rebounding.
Though San Antonio is one of the best in the league in forcing turnovers with opponents averaging a TOV% of 15.0% (ranked 10th), Golden State has a superb 33-5 record SU when its TOV% is 15.0% or greater.
