The Brooklyn Nets (2-3) will try to slow down the league’s top scoring team when they challenge the Golden State Warriors (5-1) at Barclays Center. The game will air on YES Network at 5 p.m. ET on Sunday, October 28, 2018.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 226 points with Golden State set as a 10-point favorite.
Golden State Warriors vs. Brooklyn Nets Free Prediction
In the Warriors’ last outing, they comfortably covered the 11.5-point spread against the New York Knicks, 128-100. The game’s combined points (228) were just over the projected point total of 225. The Warriors had an absurd effective field goal percentage of 0.678 (above their season average of 0.570), while the Knicks had a turnover percentage of 16.6 (above their season average of 9.9). Golden State rallied around Kevin Durant, who was the game’s high scorer with 41 points on 17-for-24 shooting.
The Nets lost a close one to the New Orleans Pelicans in their last outing, 117-115, but did cover as 9.5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (232) hit the O/U total. Getting to the charity stripe was one of New Orleans’ largest advantages. They made 26 trips to the line, while Brooklyn went 15 times. With 21 points and six rebounds, Caris LeVert had a solid game for Brooklyn.
The offense of Brooklyn will go head-to-head against the top-notch defense of Golden State. Dating back to the 2017-18 season, the Nets rank 20th in offensive efficiency, while the Warriors are fifth in defensive efficiency. The Warriors should have the edge on that side of the ball.
Golden State heads into the game with records of 5-1 straight up (SU) and 3-3 against the spread (ATS). Vegas is highly accurate when predicting totals of Warriors games, with an even split between overs and unders.
Brooklyn is 3-2 ATS, despite being 2-3 SU. Of the Nets’ 5 games, 3 have finished under the total.
The Warriors won both contests against the Nets last season. In the last matchup, Golden State won 114-101. Golden State had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.633 vs. 0.476). Brooklyn, on the other hand, did a great job of making free throws (20-25; 80.0 percent).
Golden State Warriors vs. Brooklyn Nets Betting Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
When allowing under 100 points, Brooklyn is 14-1 and Golden State is 23-7.
When reaching 100 points, the Nets are 26-38 and the Warriors are 75-17.
Golden State ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.6) while Brooklyn ranks 27th (5.4).
The Warriors rank fifth in points off turnovers per game (17.5) while the Nets rank last (14.0).
Golden State ranks sixth in rebounds allowed per game (42.6) while Brooklyn ranks last (46.6).
The Warriors rank ninth in steals per game (8.0) while the Nets rank last (6.2).
Golden State ranks first in fast break points per game (19.0) while Brooklyn ranks 21st (10.6).
The Nets rank first in three pointers allowed per game (24.4) while the Warriors rank 20th (30.3).
Brooklyn ranks 14th in second chance points per game (12.5) while Golden State ranks 28th (10.6).
The Warriors rank first in assists per game (28.7) while the Nets rank ninth (23.7).
Golden State ranks 19th in points in the paint per game (43.8) while Brooklyn ranks 25th in points allowed in the paint per game (47.6).
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