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Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies Game Pick and Prediction

The Golden State Warriors (65-15) and their second-ranked offense welcome the Memphis Grizzlies (54-26) and their top-ranked defense. Action begins at 10:30 pm ET on Monday, Apr. 13 and can be seen on NBA TV, SPSO and CSN-BA.

The Warriors played well in their last game, topping the Timberwolves 110-101 on Saturday. Stephen Curry was the team’s leading scorer with 34 points on 11-for-21 shooting. The Grizzlies, meanwhile, are feeling some disappointment after the 94-86 loss against the Clippers on Saturday. Memphis still lost despite the best efforts of Zach Randolph, who recorded his 38th double-double of the season with 21 points and 13 rebounds.

This showdown pits one of the league’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses, as Golden State currently ranks second in the NBA in offensive efficiency and Memphis is third in defensive efficiency.

Both teams have won a game in the season series. The Warriors had the upper hand in the most recent game, a blowout 107-84 win. Curry put up a double-double in the victory with 38 points and 10 assists.

The odds for Golden State and Memphis are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is unavailable as of now. The Warriors come into this game 65-15 Straight Up (SU) and 47-32-1 Against The Spread (ATS). They are 40-10 SU and 32-18 ATS against the Western Conference. The Warriors are one of the best in the NBA in terms of three-point field goals, making 10.7 shots per game from beyond the arc. The rebounding edge goes to the Warriors in this matchup, who are one of the top rebounding teams in the league with an average of 44.8 boards per game. Golden State is one of the most disciplined teams in the league with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.95. Crossing over to the defensive side of the court, the Warriors prevent teams from making three-pointers on the defensive end, ranking third in the league with a .337 opponent field-goal percentage from three-point range. Opponents have consistently had their shots rejected by the Warriors, ranking second in the league in blocks per game with 6.0. Golden State is the league’s top scoring team off turnovers with an average of 19.4 points per game.

In the other locker room, the Grizzlies have 54-26 SU and 38-40-2 ATS records. Against the Western Conference, Memphis is 35-16 SU and 25-26 ATS.

The Warriors’ win over Memphis in their last game wasn’t enough for them to overtake the Grizzlies in the recent head-to-head series. Their record is now 3-7 SU over the most recent 10 meetings. The Grizzlies also lead the matchup ATS with a record of 6-4. Golden State held the advantage in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers two times in the last 10 matchups. On the other side of the court, Memphis never accomplished this feat in that span.

Predictions: SU Winner – GS, ATS Winner – GS

Notes

Memphis ranks 20th in points per game with 98.2, while Golden State ranks 14th in points allowed with an average of 99.4 given up.

Memphis ranks 20th in points per away game with 96.9 points, while Golden State ranks 12th in points allowed at home with 97.8.

Memphis has a superb 41-11 record when it gives up under 100 points this season. Golden State is 8-6 when it scores under 100.

When the Memphis Grizzlies allow at least 100 points they are 13-15, while the Golden State Warriors are 57-9 when they reach the century mark.

The Warriors have the best defense in the NBA, with a defensive rating of 98.4. The Grizzlies have an offensive rating of 102.9 (ranked 13th).

Ranked first in the NBA, Golden State has an average field goal percentage of 47.7%. Memphis is 9-7 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.

The Memphis Grizzlies rank higher for their field goal percentage (seventh) than their effective field goal percentage (19th), while the Golden State Warriors rank the same for both metrics (first).

Golden State ranks near the top of the league with an assist to turnover ratio of 1.95 (ranked second). Memphis is ranked 11th, with an A/TO of 1.68.

Golden State ranks near the top of the NBA for rebounds at fifth (44.8 per game), while Memphis ranks 21st with 42.5 per game.

Golden State is ranked third in defensive rebounds, while Memphis ranks 23rd in offensive rebounds.

On average, the Grizzlies force a turnover rate of 15.2%, ranked seventh in the NBA. When the Warriors turn over the ball at a similar or higher rate, the team has an exceptional 16-5 record.

Written by GMS Previews

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