The Golden State Warriors (33-9) can prolong a 10-game road winning streak when they clash against the Milwaukee Bucks (22-18) at BMO Harris Bradley Center. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, January 12, 2018, and will air on ESPN.
Golden State opened as a 5-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 222 points.
Golden State Warriors vs. Milwaukee Bucks ATS Prediction
The Warriors are trying to rebound after their 125-106 loss to the Los Angeles Clippers in their last game. Los Angeles’ rebounding was their biggest strength. The Clippers had more offensive rebounds (11 vs. four), defensive rebounds (35 vs. 29) and total rebounds (46 vs. 33). Kevin Durant was Golden State’s high scorer with 40 points on 14-for-18 shooting.
The last time the Bucks played, they were victorious over the Orlando Magic, 110-103. The Bucks had a solid offensive rebounding percentage of 27.8 (above their season average of 18.9) and held the Magic to an effective field goal percentage of 0.478 (below the 0.535 mark opponents have averaged against Milwaukee this season). Giannis Antetokounmpo was the game’s leading scorer with 26 points on 10-for-15 shooting.
Looking at effective field goal percentage, this appears to be a matchup of two heavyweights. The upper-echelon Milwaukee offense ranks fifth in the league in that metric at 0.539, while the elite Golden State defense is ranked second in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.494). It will also be a tale of two paces as the fast-breaking Warriors rank fifth in possessions per game, while the more methodical Bucks rank 25th.
Golden State comes into the contest with records of 33-9 straight up (SU) and 19-22-1 against the spread (ATS). Of the Warriors’ 42 games, 24 have finished over the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Milwaukee owns records of 22-18 SU and 18-17-5 ATS. Games involving the Bucks also tend to go over the O/U total (60.0 percent).
Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. Draymond Green (14.0 points, 8.4 rebounds and 7.6 assists) has been great for the Warriors while Malcolm Brogdon (14.6 points) has contributed greatly to the Bucks.
After the Warriors won both matchups against the Bucks last season, these teams will meet for the first time this year. In the most recent contest, Golden State won 117-92. Golden State did an excellent job of making free throws (15-19; 78.9 percent). Milwaukee, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (10.4 vs. 12.6).
Golden State Warriors vs. Milwaukee Bucks ATS Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Golden State is 10-10 ATS with 13 overs and 7 unders.
Milwaukee is 8-10-3 ATS at home with 12 overs, 8 unders and 1 push.
Milwaukee is 8-2 when they allow less than 100 points, while Golden State is 10-2.
The Warriors are 30-6 when they score above 100 points, while the Bucks are 18-11.
Milwaukee ranks fourth in steals allowed per game (6.9) while Golden State ranks 29th (8.8).
The Bucks rank first in fast break points allowed per game (7.9) while the Warriors rank 26th (13.8).
Golden State ranks eighth in rebounds per game (44.8) while Milwaukee ranks last (38.6).
The Bucks rank sixth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.0) while the Warriors rank 25th (18.6).
Golden State ranks 10th in three pointers attempted per game (30.0) while Milwaukee ranks 26th (24.4).
The Bucks average 48.0 points in the paint per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Warriors rank 21st in points allowed in the paint per game (46.0).
Milwaukee ranks 12th in second chance points allowed per game (11.9) while Golden State ranks 25th (13.7).
The Warriors average 30.7 assists per game, which ranks first in the league. The Bucks rank 13th in assists allowed per game (22.4).
Golden State ranks first in blocks per game (8.3) while Milwaukee ranks fifth (5.2).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Golden State is 2-2-1 ATS with 5 overs.
Milwaukee is 2-3 ATS with 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push over their last five games.
The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.0, down from 9.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 109.6 points per game (3.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 109.0 points per game (2.7 above their season average).
