NBA Odds: Warriors (even)
The Golden State Warriors (46-12) and their second-ranked offense welcome the Milwaukee Bucks (32-27) and their top-ranked defense. Action begins at 10:30 pm ET on Wednesday, Mar. 4 and can be seen on FSN-WI and CSN-BA.
The Warriors are are expecting a better outcome after their 110-108 loss to the Nets on Monday. Stephen Curry was the team’s leading scorer with 26 points. The Bucks, meanwhile, are feeling some disappointment after the 82-75 loss against the Jazz on Saturday. Michael Carter-Williams played well for Milwaukee, recording 16 points, five rebounds, and four steals
This showdown pits one of the league’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses, as Golden State currently ranks second in the NBA in offensive efficiency and Milwaukee is second in defensive efficiency.
The odds for Golden State and Milwaukee are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. The Warriors come into this game 46-12 Straight Up (SU) and 34-23-1 Against The Spread (ATS). They have a solid 7-3 SU record over their last 10 games, but have not faired as well ATS (3-7). The rebounding edge goes to the Warriors in this matchup, who are one of the top rebounding teams in the league with an average of 45.0 boards per game. Golden State is one of the most disciplined teams in the league with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.9. As for the Golden State defense, opponents have consistently had the ball stolen by the Warriors, ranking fourth in the league in steals per game with 9.4. Golden State is one of the league’s top scoring teams off turnovers with an average of 19.6 points per game. Golden State will look to take advantage of the Bucks and their propensity to foul. Milwaukee ranks 27th in the league in fouls, averaging 22.2 per game.
In the other locker room, the Bucks have 32-27 SU and 35-24 ATS records. Milwaukee has not performed well ATS during its last 10 games, earning a 2-8 record. Teams with weak ball handling have not fared well against the Bucks, who rank second in the league with 9.7 steals per game. Milwaukee is the third-best team in the league at scoring points off turnovers with 19.1 per game.
This game marks the season’s first head-to-head clash between these two. Their previous game was a Warriors victory, but the win was not enough for them to overtake Milwaukee in the recent head-to-head series. Its record is now 3-7 SU over the most recent 10 meetings. The Bucks also lead the matchup ATS with a record of 6-4. In these last 10 matchups, Golden State held the edge in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers two times, with Milwaukee controlling all three of these areas once.
Predictions: SU Winner – GS, ATS Winner – GS
Notes
Milwaukee ranks 21st in points per game with 97.9, while Golden State ranks 18th in points allowed with an average of 100.0 given up.
Milwaukee and Golden State are well matched, ranking 17th in points per away game and points allowed at home respectively. Milwaukee scores an average of 97.5 points on the road, while Golden State allows 98.8 points at home on average.
Milwaukee has a winning 24-9 record when it gives up under 100 points this season. Golden State is 7-5 when it scores under 100.
When allowing 100 or more points in a game, the Bucks are just 8-18 this season. Golden State is an outstanding 39-7 when registering triple digits.
The Warriors have the best defense in the NBA, with a defensive rating of 98.4. The Bucks have an offensive rating of 100.5 (ranked 23rd).
The Golden State Warriors have one of the best field goal percentages this season, ranking first in the league with a FG% of 47.7%. When their opponents record a similar or higher FG%, the Milwaukee Bucks have a losing 5-8 record.
The Golden State Warriors average 27.3 three point attempts per game, and the Milwaukee Bucks attempt 18.6 per game. When going for at least 25 three pointers in a game this season, both teams have winning records; Golden State is 34-9 and Milwaukee is 4-1.
The Golden State Warriors, with an assist to turnover ratio of 1.91, rank second in the NBA. The Milwaukee Bucks have a lower A/TO (1.48), ranking 22nd.
Golden State ranks fifth among all teams in rebounding, placing the team near the top of the league (45.0 per game). Milwaukee, however, ranks 26th in rebounding with 41.4 per game.
Golden State is ranked third in defensive rebounds, while Milwaukee ranks 24th in offensive rebounds.
Though Golden State is one of the best in the league in forcing turnovers with opponents averaging a TOV% of 15.6% (ranked sixth), Milwaukee has a solid 20-12 record SU when its TOV% is 15.6% or greater.
