Both teams will attempt to continue their winning streaks as the Portland Trail Blazers (39-26) challenge the Golden State Warriors (51-14) at Moda Center at the Rose Quarter. The Trail Blazers have won eight consecutive games, while the Warriors are on a seven-game winning streak. The game is scheduled to get underway at 10 p.m. ET on Friday, March 9, 2018.
Golden State opened as a 4-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 227.5 points.
Golden State Warriors vs. Portland Trail Blazers Free Prediction
The Warriors will be looking for a similar outcome after narrowly defeating the San Antonio Spurs in their last outing, 110-107. The Warriors made 20 of their 23 free throws (87.0 percent) and had a turnover percentage of 8.7 (better than their season average of 14.1). Golden State received a boost from Kevin Durant, who was the top scorer from either team with 37 points on 14-for-26 shooting.
In the Trail Blazers’ last game, they dismantled the New York Knicks, 111-87. The Trail Blazers knocked down 21 of their 24 free throws (87.5 percent) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3 (above their season average of 22.7). Damian Lillard was the top scorer from either team with 37 points on 10-for-18 shooting.
Looking at effective field goal percentage, this appears to be a balanced contest. The elite Golden State offense ranks first in the league in that metric at 0.580, while the elite Portland defense is ranked fifth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.501).
Golden State is 51-14 straight up (SU), but they are just 27-34-3 against the spread (ATS). Of the Warriors’ 64 games with betting action, 33 have finished over the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Portland owns records of 39-26 SU and 34-25-6 ATS. Vegas tends to set the total high when the Trail Blazers are involved, as 58.5 percent of their games have gone under the total.
Both teams have won a game in the season series. The Trail Blazers won the most recent matchup 123-117, covering as 6-point underdogs. The game finished with a total of 240 points, which was 11.5 points above the projected point total of 228.5 points. The Trail Blazers had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (28.3 vs. 18.2) and had a better turnover percentage (11.2 vs. 14.0). In the loss, Durant led all scorers on the team with 50 points.
Golden State Warriors at Portland Trail Blazers Odds Pick
NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Golden State is 14-17-1 ATS with 17 overs and 15 unders.
Portland is 16-13-3 ATS at home with 18 unders and 14 overs.
When holding opponents below 100 points, Portland is 21-5 and Golden State is 13-2.
The Trail Blazers are 34-13 when they score over 100 points, while the Warriors are 48-10.
Golden State ranks first in assists per game (30.5) while Portland ranks last (19.1).
The Warriors rank first in fast break points per game (20.7) while the Trail Blazers rank 29th (7.7).
Golden State ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.5) while Portland ranks 23rd (5.2).
The Trail Blazers rank seventh in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.0) while the Warriors rank 28th (18.8).
Portland ranks fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (42.0) while Golden State ranks 24th (47.1).
The Trail Blazers rank 11th in steals allowed per game (7.5) while the Warriors rank 29th (8.9).
Portland ranks 12th in second chance points allowed per game (12.0) while Golden State ranks last (13.7).
The Trail Blazers rank fourth in three pointers allowed per game (26.5) while the Warriors rank 14th (29.1).
Portland ranks third in rebounds per game (45.2) while Golden State ranks 13th (44.0).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Golden State is 2-2-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Portland is 5-0 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games.
The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.6, up from 8.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 110.2 points per game (4.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 97.6 points per game (5.5 below their season average).
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