The Golden State Warriors (15-7) travel to Toronto to take on the Raptors (18-4) in what should be a high-scoring game. The game will air on TNT at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 29, 2018.
Golden State Warriors at Toronto Raptors Betting Prediction
In the Warriors’ last contest, they defeated the Orlando Magic, 116-110, but they were not able to cover as 6.5-point favorites. The total points for the game (226) came in over the O/U total of 214. The Warriors held the Magic to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.3 (below their season average of 20.7) and had a free throw rate of 0.250 (above their season average of 0.206). Golden State rallied around Kevin Durant, who was the top scorer from either team with 49 points on 16-for-33 shooting.
The Raptors defeated the Memphis Grizzlies in their last contest, 122-114, covering as 5.5-point favorites. The game’s combined points (236) were well over the O/U total of 208.5. One of Toronto’s biggest strengths was getting to the free throw line. They had 28 free throw attempts, while Memphis had 21. With 17 points, 10 rebounds and five assists, Kawhi Leonard had a good game for Toronto.
After the Warriors won both contests against the Raptors last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent game, Golden State won 127-125. The Warriors had a better turnover percentage (6.0 vs. 8.5) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.636 vs. 0.527).
Golden State is 15-7 straight up (SU), but they are just 9-13 against the spread (ATS). Just over half of the Warriors’ games have finished over the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Toronto is 18-4 SU and 12-10 ATS. Raptors games have typically gone over the total (68.2 percent).
Durant and Klay Thompson have been playing well over the last five games for Golden State. Durant has averaged 32 points,10.0 rebounds,5.2 assists,2.0 blocks per game. Not to be outdone, Thompson has put up 27 points a game during that span.
It might turn into a high-scoring affair as a pair of the league’s premier offenses face off. Toronto currently ranks third with 113.6 points per 100 possessions and Golden State is second (113.7).
Golden State Warriors vs. Toronto Raptors Free Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Golden State is 2-7 ATS with 6 overs and 3 unders.
At home, Toronto is 5-6 ATS with 9 overs and 2 unders.
Toronto is 3-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Golden State is 2-0.
When scoring above 100 points, the Raptors are 17-4 and the Warriors are 15-3.
Toronto ranks sixth in points in the paint per game (53.0) while Golden State ranks 29th (40.2).
The Warriors average 17.1 fast break points per game, which ranks fourth in the league. The Raptors rank 23rd in fast break points allowed per game (14.3).
Toronto ranks eighth in three pointers attempted per game (33.5) while Golden State ranks 26th in three pointers allowed per game (34.0).
The Warriors average 27.9 assists per game, which ranks first in the league. The Raptors rank 17th in assists allowed per game (24.1).
Toronto ranks 11th in second chance points per game (14.2) while Golden State ranks 25th (12.0).
The Warriors rank 4 in blocks per game (6.363636363636363) while the Raptors rank 15 (5.454545454545454).
Toronto ranks 7 in points off turnovers per game (18.772727272727273) while Golden State ranks 18 in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.40909090909091).
The Raptors rank 11 in steals per game (8.318181818181818) while the Warriors rank 21 in steals allowed per game (8.227272727272727).
Golden State ranks 5 in rebounds allowed per game (42.5) while Toronto ranks 9 (43.36363636363637).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five outings, Golden State is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Toronto is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over its last five games.
The Warriors have been outscored by an average of 1.0 point in their last five games. On the season, Golden State has defeated opponents by an average of 5.3 points.
During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 117.8 points per game (0.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 107.0 points per game (1.1 below their season average).
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