The Utah Jazz (47-33) and Golden State Warriors (58-23) kick off their Western Conference schedules at Vivint Smart Home Arena. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, April 10, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 211.5 points with Utah opening as a 6.5-point favorite.
Golden State Warriors at Utah Jazz Free Prediction
In the Warriors’ last outing, they topped the Phoenix Suns, 117-100. Golden State launched 32 three pointers, making 13 of them (40.6 percent), while Phoenix was 10-35 (28.6 percent). With 34 points on 14-for-23 shooting, Klay Thompson was the top scorer from either team.
The Jazz defeated the Los Angeles Lakers in their last matchup, 112-97. Utah had an effective field goal percentage of 0.584 (above their season average of 0.527). Los Angeles, meanwhile, forced the Jazz into a turnover percentage of 16.3 (above their season average of 13.2). Donovan Mitchell was the top scorer from either team with 28 points on 9-for-18 shooting.
The game should be a showdown of strength against strength as the high-octane offense of Golden State (second in the league with an offensive efficiency of 113.1) takes on the top-notch defense of Utah (second in the league with a defensive efficiency of 102.4).
Golden State is 58-23 straight up (SU), but they have trouble covering the spread (33-45-3 against the spread (ATS)). A little over half of the Warriors’ games have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, Utah owns records of 47-33 SU and 42-38 ATS. Games including the Jazz have no tendency in regards to the O/U total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Quinn Cook has averaged 14.8 points and 5.6 assists over the last five games for Golden State.
The Jazz lead the season series against the Warriors two games to one, including a decisive 19-point victory in their last matchup. Utah covered as a 9-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 201 points, which was just 3 points above the projected point total of 198 points. The Jazz knocked down 14 of their 18 free throws (77.8 percent) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.552 vs. 0.451). Rudy Gobert put up a double-double in the victory with 17 points and 15 rebounds.
Golden State Warriors at Utah Jazz Betting Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Golden State is 18-21-1 ATS on the road with 21 overs and 19 unders.
At home, Utah is 21-19 ATS with 24 unders and 16 overs.
Utah is 33-7 when they allow under 100 points, while Golden State is 15-5.
The Jazz are 38-12 when they score more than 100 points, while the Warriors are 55-15.
Utah ranks second in second chance points allowed per game (10.9) while Golden State ranks 27th (13.6).
The Jazz rank first in fast break points allowed per game (9.8) while the Warriors rank 24th (14.1).
Utah averages 8.7 steals per game, which ranks fourth in the league. Golden State ranks 26th in steals allowed per game (8.7).
The Jazz rank second in points allowed in the paint per game (41.8) while the Warriors rank 22nd (47.2).
Golden State ranks first in assists per game (29.5) while Utah ranks 20th (22.4).
The Jazz rank 12th in points off turnovers per game (16.8) while the Warriors rank 27th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.5).
Utah ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (26.1) while Golden State ranks 13th (29.1).
The Warriors rank first in blocks allowed per game (3.6) while the Jazz rank 10th (4.6).
Utah ranks first in rebounds allowed per game (41.6) while Golden State ranks eighth (42.3).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Golden State is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Utah is 3-2 ATS with 5 overs over their last five games.
The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.0, down from 6.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 114.8 points per game (10.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 99.2 points per game (0.9 below their season average).
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