It will be a battle between SWAC opponents when the Alabama State Hornets (2-9) welcome the Grambling State Tigers (6-7) to the Dunn-Oliver Acadome. The game begins at 6:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 5, 2019.
Grambling State Tigers at Alabama State Hornets Free Prediction
In the Tigers’ last matchup, they thoroughly outplayed the Jarvis Christian Bulldogs, 105-68. The Tigers had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.618 vs. 0.362) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (42.1 vs. 30.5). Grambling State received a boost from Dallas Polk-Hilliard, who was the top scorer from either team with 17 points on 8-for-13 shooting.
The Hornets lost big to the Iowa State Cyclones in their last matchup, 79-53. Iowa State’s offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over Alabama State. The Cyclones had a rate of 36.1, while the Hornets posted a mark of 23.7. With 15 points on 5-for-10 shooting, Reginald Gee led Alabama State in scoring.
After splitting two games last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last game, the Tigers won 66-64. Grambling State did a great job of getting and making free throws (19-25; 76.0 percent). Alabama State, meanwhile, had a much better turnover percentage (13.2 vs. 18.4).
Polk-Hilliard has averaged 0 points over the last five games for Grambling State.
Grambling State could dominate on the defensive side of the ball as they clash against one of the worst offenses in the nation. The Tigers currently rank 53rd in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.461), while Alabama State is 309th in effective field goal percentage (0.470).
Grambling State at Alabama State ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Grambling State, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Grambling State averages 38.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 66th in the nation. Alabama State ranks 193rd in rebounds allowed per game (37.2).
The Hornets rank 155th in three pointers attempted per game (22.1) while the Tigers rank 272nd (14.9).
Grambling State ranks 157th in assists per game (12.8) while Alabama State ranks 231st (10.4).
The Tigers rank 62nd in blocks per game (4.1) while the Hornets rank 121st in blocks allowed per game (3.9).
Grambling State ranks 150th in steals per game (5.6) while Alabama State ranks 166th in steals allowed per game (8.0).
Bettings Trends:
The Tigers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 12.0, up from 0.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Hornets have scored an average of 75.0 points per game (10.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 73.8 points per game (1.6 below their season average).
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