The Green Bay Phoenix will travel to Ellis T Johnson Arena to play the Morehead State Eagles. The game starts at 7:00 pm ET on Monday, Dec. 28.
The Eagles were beaten by Davidson 81-77 in their last game. Miguel Dicent finished with 16 points to lead the team. The Phoenix are coming off an 84-79 loss to Wisconsin in their last outing. Carrington Love had a good shooting night, leading the game with 28 points.
It could be a sloppy game for the Eagles offense, which ranks 305th in the nation in ball protection (TO% of 21.1%). They’ll be facing the gambling Green Bay defense, which forces the 12th-most turnovers in the nation (24.3%). It will also be a tale of two tempos, as the fast-breaking Phoenix are ranked second in possessions per game, with the half-court-oriented Eagles at 333rd.
Morehead State is a six-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is 145 points. The Eagles enter the game with records of 6-4 Straight Up (SU) and 6-3 Against The Spread (ATS). Teams have a tough time keeping Morehead State off of the offensive glass. They rank 18th in Division I in offensive rebounds. Turning to the defensive side, teams really have to fight for three-pointers against the Eagles, who have allowed only 5.0 three-pointers to opponents per game.
On the other side, the Phoenix head into the game with records of 5-4 ATS and 6-5 SU. They average 11.9 steals per game, good for second in the nation.
This is the first meeting of the season for Morehead State and Green Bay. The last time they played, Green Bay came out on top, bringing its SU record to 1-0. The Phoenix also hold the advantage ATS with a record of 1-0.
Predictions: SU Winner – GB, ATS Winner – GB, O/U – Over
Notes
Morehead State is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Morehead State’s last 9 games.
The Green Bay Phoenix average 84.8 points per game, ranking 21st in the nation. The Morehead State Eagles rank 23rd in points allowed with 62.4.
The Morehead State Eagles have a defensive rating of 94.6 (ranked 58th), while the Green Bay Phoenix have an offensive rating of 106.4 (ranked 163rd).
The Morehead State Eagles average a field goal percentage of 42.6% this season. The Green Bay Phoenix have an underachieving record of 1-5 when opponents have a FG% of 42.6% or greater.
The Morehead State Eagles and the Green Bay Phoenix both rank higher in average field goal percentage when compared to their effective field goal percentages. Morehead State is 263rd and 234th in the nation for eFG% and FG% respectively, while Green Bay ranks 235th and 192nd in these categories.
Green Bay, the 65th-ranked team in rebounding, registers an average of 40.0 rebounds per game. Morehead State does worse, ranked 188th with 36.9.
The Green Bay Phoenix rank 37th in offensive rebounds. The Morehead State Eagles rank 327th in the nation in defensive rebounds.
Ranked 12th, Green Bay averages a forced turnover percentage of 24.3% this season. When the Morehead State Eagles suffer a turnover rate equal to or exceeding this, the team is winless with a 0-2 record.