The Hartford Hawks (19-13) challenge the San Diego Toreros (18-13) in the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament at Jenny Craig Pavilion. The game starts at 10 p.m. ET on Monday, March 12, 2018, and will air on CBS Sports Network.
San Diego is a 9.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 138 points.
Hartford Hawks at San Diego Toreros ATS Prediction
The Hawks are trying to rebound after their 75-60 loss to the UMBC Retrievers in their last contest. UMBC’s free throw rate was their largest strength over Hartford. The Retrievers had a rate of 0.236 (above their season average of 0.200), while the Hawks posted a mark of 0.154 (below their season average of 0.212). Hartford’s Jason Dunne put together a good outing, contributing 15 points and six rebounds.
In the Toreros’ last matchup, they lost to the BYU Cougars, 85-79. BYU’s turnover percentage was their largest strength over San Diego. The Cougars had a rate of 6.7 (better than their season average of 16.1), while the Toreros posted a mark of 18.6. With 21 points on 5-for-9 shooting, Isaiah Pineiro was San Diego’s high scorer.
Half-court execution will be at a premium when a pair of the NCAA’s slowest-paced teams go head-to-head. San Diego currently ranks 310th in possessions per game (66.5) and Hartford is 294th (67.1).
Hartford holds records of 19-13 straight up (SU) and 3-1 against the spread (ATS). Of the Hawks’ 3 games that accepted bets, two have finished under the total.
Meanwhile, San Diego owns records of 18-13 SU and 12-13-1 ATS. Much like Hartford, just over half of Toreros games have finished under the O/U total.
Olin Carter III has averaged 14.0 points over the last five games for San Diego.
Hartford Hawks vs. San Diego Toreros Pick
Free Basketball Pick: SU Winner – San Diego, ATS Winner – Hartford, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
San Diego ranks second in three pointers allowed per game (15.6) while Hartford ranks 217th (23.2).
The Toreros rank second in assists allowed per game (9.1) while the Hawks rank 146th (13.4).
Hartford ranks 227th in rebounds per game (33.7) while San Diego ranks 259th (32.9).
The Toreros rank 65th in blocks per game (4.0) while the Hawks rank 80th in blocks allowed per game (3.0).
Bettings Trends:
The Hawks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.2, up from 0.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Toreros have scored an average of 69.0 points per game (0.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 70.4 points per game (4.5 above their season average).
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