The Houston Astros are set to square off against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. This AL matchup can be viewed across the country on ESPN and the opening pitch is scheduled for 8:08 p.m. ET.
Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox Odds
Houston (+105) is entering this game as the underdog to Boston (-115) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). You can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -200 for the Astros +1.5 runs and +170 for the Red Sox -1.5.
The Astros have gone 89-53 SU this year and are 73-68 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.1 units for moneyline bettors and 0.9 units ATS. Houston’s covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 97-46 SU and 85-57 ATS. They’ve gained 32.6 units for moneyline bettors and 26.8 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Boston games have had an over/under record of 67-69-6 in 2018. Houston has been a decent under bet with a total record of 62-72-7.
Dallas Keuchel will get the nod for the visiting Astros. The southpaw Keuchel is 11-10 with a 3.46 ERA and 136 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Red Sox are sending righty Rick Porcello (16-7, 4.20 ERA) to the mound. Porcello has 176 strikeouts and 43 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.17. Porcello is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 2.84 ERA in one start against Houston this year.
As a unit, Boston’s pitching staff has given up 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 3.74 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.50 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.
The Boston offense is putting up 5.4 runs per contest, including 5.8 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .264/.358/.371 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts have paced the Red Sox hitters this year. Martinez is hitting .332/.403/.633 with 39 home runs, 117 RBIs and 103 runs scored, and Betts has produced a line of .341/.432/.629 with 29 homers, 71 RBIs, 113 runs and 27 steals.
In the other dugout, Houston’s pitchers have allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.16 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 10.35 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.92, along with a K/9 of 10.78.
Astros hitters have slashed .257/.332/.432 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
Third baseman Alex Bregman and second baseman Jose Altuve continue to lead Houston’s offense. Bregman is hitting .299/.401/.563 with 30 home runs, 97 RBIs and 98 runs scored, while Altuve (.316/.382/.448) has produced 10 homers, 52 RBIs, 72 runs and 15 stolen bases.
The Astros have gained 0.7 units and are 47-41 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 37 of those games, compared to 46 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 0.1 units and are 17-16 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 17 that’ve gone under.
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Houston has recorded 18 extra-base hits over its last five games. Boston has 13 XBH over its last five.
Houston has posted 20.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.4 over its last five.
The Astros have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
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