The Houston Astros will head north to square off against the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park. ATTSN Southwest will be televising this AL showdown and the game is scheduled to get underway at 6:10 p.m. ET.
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers Odds
Detroit (+260) is the underdog to Houston (-320) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at eight runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Runline odds stand at -180 for taking the Astros -1.5 runs and +160 for the Tigers +1.5 runs.
The Astros are 89-54 SU and are 74-68 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.0 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 0.1 units ATS. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 59-84 SU and 74-68 ATS. They’ve lost 2.4 units for moneyline bettors and 5.2 units ATS.
Detroit games have a 60-75-7 over/under record in 2018. The Astros have also been a good under bet with a total record of 62-73-7.
The right-handed Justin Verlander is getting the nod for the visiting Astros. Verlander is 14-9 with a 2.73 ERA and 248 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with 12 strikeouts and a 7.50 ERA against Detroit this year.
The Tigers are sending lefty Francisco Liriano (4-9, 4.90 ERA) to the mound. Liriano has 87 strikeouts and 63 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.54. Liriano is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA in one start against Houston this year.
Houston’s pitching staff allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.19 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 10.30 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.92, along with a K-per-9 of 10.78.
The Astros offense has slashed .257/.333/.433 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game this year, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Houston’s hitters have been paced by third baseman Alex Bregman and second baseman Jose Altuve, who have combined to drive in 150 runs. Bregman is slashing .299/.401/.563 with 30 home runs, 97 RBIs and 98 runs scored, while Altuve (.317/.383/.454) is up to 11 homers, 53 RBIs, 73 runs and 15 steals.
For the home team, Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 4.48, a WHIP of 1.29 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 4.47 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.
Detroit’s hitters have produced 3.9 runs per contest, including 5.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .267/.354/.430 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Tigers’ offense has been led by right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is slashing .295/.352/.489 with 20 home runs, 78 RBIs and 77 runs scored, and the line for Iglesias stands at .269/.310/.389 with five homers, 48 RBIs, 43 runs and 15 steals.
The Astros have lost 7.7 units and are 27-27 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 25 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 10.3 units and are 52-54 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 41 of those games, as opposed to 59 which went under the total.
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in four of Detroit’s last seven games.
Houston has recorded 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 26.4 over its last five.
The Astros have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
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